Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration project a daily minimum of 16°C in Jinan on September 5 under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, enabling efficient nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30–32°C. This aligns with recent observational trends showing overnight lows stabilizing in the upper teens amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and minimal moisture. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability reflects strong model agreement on these conditions, with limited ensemble spread. A shift to increased cloud cover or stronger winds could elevate the minimum by 1–2°C through reduced heat loss, though current guidance shows low likelihood before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Jinan el 5 de septiembre?
16°C 99.5%
12°C o menos <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$1,843 Vol.
$1,843 Vol.
12°C o menos
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o más
<1%
16°C 99.5%
12°C o menos <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$1,843 Vol.
$1,843 Vol.
12°C o menos
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o más
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration project a daily minimum of 16°C in Jinan on September 5 under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, enabling efficient nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30–32°C. This aligns with recent observational trends showing overnight lows stabilizing in the upper teens amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and minimal moisture. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability reflects strong model agreement on these conditions, with limited ensemble spread. A shift to increased cloud cover or stronger winds could elevate the minimum by 1–2°C through reduced heat loss, though current guidance shows low likelihood before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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