Current forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul's overnight low on September 10 will likely fall between 18–21°C under clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds, placing the daily minimum in the mid-range outcomes. Persistent high pressure and typical Etesian wind patterns promote radiative cooling after sunset without significant cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures. Model consensus supports this baseline, though minor variations in wind speed or timing of any frontal approach could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the near-even market split between sub-17°C and 27°C+ scenarios amid inherent forecast uncertainty two days out.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Estambul el 10 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Estambul el 10 de septiembre?
17°C o menos 98%
27°C o más 96%
19°C 40%
25°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
17°C o menos
98%
18°C
24%
19°C
40%
20°C
22%
21°C
21%
22°C
22%
23°C
23%
24°C
22%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C o más
96%
17°C o menos 98%
27°C o más 96%
19°C 40%
25°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
17°C o menos
$0 Vol.
98%
18°C
$0 Vol.
24%
19°C
$0 Vol.
40%
20°C
$0 Vol.
22%
21°C
$0 Vol.
21%
22°C
$0 Vol.
22%
23°C
$0 Vol.
23%
24°C
$0 Vol.
22%
25°C
$0 Vol.
40%
26°C
$0 Vol.
40%
27°C o más
$0 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul's overnight low on September 10 will likely fall between 18–21°C under clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds, placing the daily minimum in the mid-range outcomes. Persistent high pressure and typical Etesian wind patterns promote radiative cooling after sunset without significant cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures. Model consensus supports this baseline, though minor variations in wind speed or timing of any frontal approach could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the near-even market split between sub-17°C and 27°C+ scenarios amid inherent forecast uncertainty two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul's overnight low on September 10 will likely fall between 18–21°C under clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds, placing the daily minimum in the mid-range outcomes. Persistent high pressure and typical Etesian wind patterns promote radiative cooling after sunset without significant cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures. Model consensus supports this baseline, though minor variations in wind speed or timing of any frontal approach could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the near-even market split between sub-17°C and 27°C+ scenarios amid inherent forecast uncertainty two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul's overnight low on September 10 will likely fall between 18–21°C under clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds, placing the daily minimum in the mid-range outcomes. Persistent high pressure and typical Etesian wind patterns promote radiative cooling after sunset without significant cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures. Model consensus supports this baseline, though minor variations in wind speed or timing of any frontal approach could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the near-even market split between sub-17°C and 27°C+ scenarios amid inherent forecast uncertainty two days out.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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