Recent model consensus from GFS and regional forecasts points to an overnight low near 21°C in Istanbul, driven by clear skies, light northeast winds, and typical late-August radiative cooling under stable high pressure. This aligns with historical climatology showing average August minima of 20–22°C and current observations indicating no anomalous cold advection or cloud cover to push temperatures lower. With the market resolution tied to official daily minimum readings, the strong clustering around 21°C reflects trader assessment of these steady atmospheric conditions and limited downside risk from forecast revisions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Estambul el 23 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Estambul el 23 de agosto?
20°C 20%
19°C 19%
17°C 13%
16°C or below <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
13%
18°C
1%
19°C
19%
20°C
20%
21°C
60%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 20%
19°C 19%
17°C 13%
16°C or below <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
16°C or below
$200 Vol.
1%
17°C
$91 Vol.
13%
18°C
$50 Vol.
1%
19°C
$6 Vol.
19%
20°C
$5 Vol.
20%
21°C
$91 Vol.
60%
22°C
$257 Vol.
1%
23°C
$215 Vol.
1%
24°C
$236 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$313 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$184 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and regional forecasts points to an overnight low near 21°C in Istanbul, driven by clear skies, light northeast winds, and typical late-August radiative cooling under stable high pressure. This aligns with historical climatology showing average August minima of 20–22°C and current observations indicating no anomalous cold advection or cloud cover to push temperatures lower. With the market resolution tied to official daily minimum readings, the strong clustering around 21°C reflects trader assessment of these steady atmospheric conditions and limited downside risk from forecast revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$1,647Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and regional forecasts points to an overnight low near 21°C in Istanbul, driven by clear skies, light northeast winds, and typical late-August radiative cooling under stable high pressure. This aligns with historical climatology showing average August minima of 20–22°C and current observations indicating no anomalous cold advection or cloud cover to push temperatures lower. With the market resolution tied to official daily minimum readings, the strong clustering around 21°C reflects trader assessment of these steady atmospheric conditions and limited downside risk from forecast revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,647Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS and regional forecasts points to an overnight low near 21°C in Istanbul, driven by clear skies, light northeast winds, and typical late-August radiative cooling under stable high pressure. This aligns with historical climatology showing average August minima of 20–22°C and current observations indicating no anomalous cold advection or cloud cover to push temperatures lower. With the market resolution tied to official daily minimum readings, the strong clustering around 21°C reflects trader assessment of these steady atmospheric conditions and limited downside risk from forecast revisions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes