Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including consistent output from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international providers, project overnight lows of 15–17°C in Ankara on September 1 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds. This places the expected daily minimum well above 10°C amid stable late-summer high pressure. The market’s elevated implied probability for 10°C or below (47%) alongside clustered odds near 11–14°C reflects traders’ weighting of inherent forecast uncertainty ranges, potential local microclimate effects, and the short time window before resolution, even as the consensus baseline favors milder conditions. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will provide the key data shift for positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ankara el 1 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ankara el 1 de septiembre?
10°C o menos 60%
17°C 49%
15°C 48%
20°C o más 43%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
10°C o menos
60%
11°C
25%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
48%
16°C
25%
17°C
49%
18°C
2%
19°C
18%
20°C o más
43%
10°C o menos 60%
17°C 49%
15°C 48%
20°C o más 43%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
10°C o menos
$0 Vol.
60%
11°C
$0 Vol.
25%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
48%
16°C
$0 Vol.
25%
17°C
$0 Vol.
49%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
18%
20°C o más
$0 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including consistent output from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international providers, project overnight lows of 15–17°C in Ankara on September 1 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds. This places the expected daily minimum well above 10°C amid stable late-summer high pressure. The market’s elevated implied probability for 10°C or below (47%) alongside clustered odds near 11–14°C reflects traders’ weighting of inherent forecast uncertainty ranges, potential local microclimate effects, and the short time window before resolution, even as the consensus baseline favors milder conditions. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will provide the key data shift for positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including consistent output from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international providers, project overnight lows of 15–17°C in Ankara on September 1 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds. This places the expected daily minimum well above 10°C amid stable late-summer high pressure. The market’s elevated implied probability for 10°C or below (47%) alongside clustered odds near 11–14°C reflects traders’ weighting of inherent forecast uncertainty ranges, potential local microclimate effects, and the short time window before resolution, even as the consensus baseline favors milder conditions. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will provide the key data shift for positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including consistent output from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international providers, project overnight lows of 15–17°C in Ankara on September 1 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds. This places the expected daily minimum well above 10°C amid stable late-summer high pressure. The market’s elevated implied probability for 10°C or below (47%) alongside clustered odds near 11–14°C reflects traders’ weighting of inherent forecast uncertainty ranges, potential local microclimate effects, and the short time window before resolution, even as the consensus baseline favors milder conditions. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will provide the key data shift for positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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