Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models show Chicago's minimum temperature on September 1 likely settling in the mid- to upper 70s under continued southerly winds and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent warm advection from the southwest, combined with partial cloud cover, reduces the typical diurnal temperature drop compared to climatological averages near 64°F for the date. Model consensus points to overnight lows near 75–79°F with only modest variability from timing of any weak showers or clearing. Traders' tight clustering around 74–77°F ranges reflects this stable pattern and the short lead time until resolution, while lower-probability tails account for possible shifts in boundary-layer moisture or unexpected clearing that could allow slightly more cooling.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Chicago el 1 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Chicago el 1 de septiembre?
78-79°F 49%
70-71°F 48%
72-73°F 48%
80-81°F 48%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
67°F o menos
15%
68-69°F
43%
70-71°F
48%
72-73°F
48%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
48%
82-83°F
15%
84-85°F
15%
86°F o más
37%
78-79°F 49%
70-71°F 48%
72-73°F 48%
80-81°F 48%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
67°F o menos
$0 Vol.
15%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
43%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
48%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
48%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
27%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
27%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
49%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
48%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
15%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
15%
86°F o más
$0 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models show Chicago's minimum temperature on September 1 likely settling in the mid- to upper 70s under continued southerly winds and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent warm advection from the southwest, combined with partial cloud cover, reduces the typical diurnal temperature drop compared to climatological averages near 64°F for the date. Model consensus points to overnight lows near 75–79°F with only modest variability from timing of any weak showers or clearing. Traders' tight clustering around 74–77°F ranges reflects this stable pattern and the short lead time until resolution, while lower-probability tails account for possible shifts in boundary-layer moisture or unexpected clearing that could allow slightly more cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models show Chicago's minimum temperature on September 1 likely settling in the mid- to upper 70s under continued southerly winds and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent warm advection from the southwest, combined with partial cloud cover, reduces the typical diurnal temperature drop compared to climatological averages near 64°F for the date. Model consensus points to overnight lows near 75–79°F with only modest variability from timing of any weak showers or clearing. Traders' tight clustering around 74–77°F ranges reflects this stable pattern and the short lead time until resolution, while lower-probability tails account for possible shifts in boundary-layer moisture or unexpected clearing that could allow slightly more cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models show Chicago's minimum temperature on September 1 likely settling in the mid- to upper 70s under continued southerly winds and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent warm advection from the southwest, combined with partial cloud cover, reduces the typical diurnal temperature drop compared to climatological averages near 64°F for the date. Model consensus points to overnight lows near 75–79°F with only modest variability from timing of any weak showers or clearing. Traders' tight clustering around 74–77°F ranges reflects this stable pattern and the short lead time until resolution, while lower-probability tails account for possible shifts in boundary-layer moisture or unexpected clearing that could allow slightly more cooling.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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