**Recent forecasts for Ankara indicate overnight lows of 13–16°C on August 31, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiational cooling over the city's elevated plateau (around 850–900 m).** Multiple models, including those from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF-influenced runs, and U.S. GFS ensembles, show temperatures dropping to the mid-teens Celsius after midnight under mostly clear conditions, with dew points supporting efficient cooling but no precipitation or strong advection to moderate the drop. Historical August normals for minimum temperatures in Ankara hover near 16–18°C, so the current pattern reflects a modest cool anomaly consistent with the end of the season. Market-implied probabilities place the highest weight on 11°C or below (42.5%) alongside clusters around 12–16°C (each near 25–27%), reflecting traders' aggregation of forecast uncertainty ranges, potential model spread in boundary-layer cooling, and the exact timing of the daily minimum. Strong consensus on dry, calm conditions keeps probabilities for 17°C or higher near zero, while the elevated chance for sub-12°C outcomes captures tail risks from slightly stronger cooling or measurement variations at official stations. Updated model runs through the evening of August 30 will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.