Traders' near-certain positioning on 29°C as Zhengzhou's daily maximum on August 14 reflects convergent forecasts from regional meteorological models and recent observational trends showing stable high pressure with moderate humidity and limited solar heating. Official data indicate typical August conditions in Henan province produce highs near 29–30°C, with current model runs aligning precisely on this threshold without significant deviations expected before evening. This market-implied consensus draws from skin-in-the-game assessment of forecast reliability, where small uncertainties in wind patterns or localized cloud cover could still shift the recorded peak by 1–2°C at official stations. Upcoming verification from national weather services will confirm resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Zhengzhou el 14 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Zhengzhou el 14 de agosto?
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$5,444 Vol.
$5,444 Vol.
14 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$5,444 Vol.
$5,444 Vol.
14 ago 2026
22°C or below
$18 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$149 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$244 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$685 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$575 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$479 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$340 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$415 Vol.
100%
30°C
$1,667 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$511 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$361 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders' near-certain positioning on 29°C as Zhengzhou's daily maximum on August 14 reflects convergent forecasts from regional meteorological models and recent observational trends showing stable high pressure with moderate humidity and limited solar heating. Official data indicate typical August conditions in Henan province produce highs near 29–30°C, with current model runs aligning precisely on this threshold without significant deviations expected before evening. This market-implied consensus draws from skin-in-the-game assessment of forecast reliability, where small uncertainties in wind patterns or localized cloud cover could still shift the recorded peak by 1–2°C at official stations. Upcoming verification from national weather services will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$5,444Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders' near-certain positioning on 29°C as Zhengzhou's daily maximum on August 14 reflects convergent forecasts from regional meteorological models and recent observational trends showing stable high pressure with moderate humidity and limited solar heating. Official data indicate typical August conditions in Henan province produce highs near 29–30°C, with current model runs aligning precisely on this threshold without significant deviations expected before evening. This market-implied consensus draws from skin-in-the-game assessment of forecast reliability, where small uncertainties in wind patterns or localized cloud cover could still shift the recorded peak by 1–2°C at official stations. Upcoming verification from national weather services will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,444Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders' near-certain positioning on 29°C as Zhengzhou's daily maximum on August 14 reflects convergent forecasts from regional meteorological models and recent observational trends showing stable high pressure with moderate humidity and limited solar heating. Official data indicate typical August conditions in Henan province produce highs near 29–30°C, with current model runs aligning precisely on this threshold without significant deviations expected before evening. This market-implied consensus draws from skin-in-the-game assessment of forecast reliability, where small uncertainties in wind patterns or localized cloud cover could still shift the recorded peak by 1–2°C at official stations. Upcoming verification from national weather services will confirm resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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