Current meteorological forecasts for Tokyo point to a daily maximum near 31–32°C on August 10, with ensemble model runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global centers showing only modest spread that explains the near-even split between those two leading outcomes. Persistent summer high pressure, typical late-season subtropical airflow, and the urban heat-island effect in the Kanto plain support temperatures above the seasonal 30–31°C baseline, while slight differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing account for the remaining probability mass on 30°C and 33°C. Official guidance released in the past 24–48 hours has remained stable, but forecasters continue to monitor any last-minute adjustments to the 00Z and 12Z model suites ahead of the daily observation window used for market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 10 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 10 de agosto?
31°C 38%
32°C 36%
30°C 15%
33°C 8%
NUEVO
$11,474 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,474 Vol.
10 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
15%
31°C
38%
32°C
36%
33°C
8%
34°C or higher
5%
31°C 38%
32°C 36%
30°C 15%
33°C 8%
NUEVO
$11,474 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,474 Vol.
10 ago 2026
24°C or below
$472 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$474 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$377 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$334 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$979 Vol.
1%
29°C
$640 Vol.
5%
30°C
$833 Vol.
15%
31°C
$1,596 Vol.
38%
32°C
$1,592 Vol.
36%
33°C
$1,534 Vol.
8%
34°C or higher
$2,665 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Tokyo point to a daily maximum near 31–32°C on August 10, with ensemble model runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global centers showing only modest spread that explains the near-even split between those two leading outcomes. Persistent summer high pressure, typical late-season subtropical airflow, and the urban heat-island effect in the Kanto plain support temperatures above the seasonal 30–31°C baseline, while slight differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing account for the remaining probability mass on 30°C and 33°C. Official guidance released in the past 24–48 hours has remained stable, but forecasters continue to monitor any last-minute adjustments to the 00Z and 12Z model suites ahead of the daily observation window used for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$11,474Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Tokyo point to a daily maximum near 31–32°C on August 10, with ensemble model runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global centers showing only modest spread that explains the near-even split between those two leading outcomes. Persistent summer high pressure, typical late-season subtropical airflow, and the urban heat-island effect in the Kanto plain support temperatures above the seasonal 30–31°C baseline, while slight differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing account for the remaining probability mass on 30°C and 33°C. Official guidance released in the past 24–48 hours has remained stable, but forecasters continue to monitor any last-minute adjustments to the 00Z and 12Z model suites ahead of the daily observation window used for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,474Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Tokyo point to a daily maximum near 31–32°C on August 10, with ensemble model runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global centers showing only modest spread that explains the near-even split between those two leading outcomes. Persistent summer high pressure, typical late-season subtropical airflow, and the urban heat-island effect in the Kanto plain support temperatures above the seasonal 30–31°C baseline, while slight differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing account for the remaining probability mass on 30°C and 33°C. Official guidance released in the past 24–48 hours has remained stable, but forecasters continue to monitor any last-minute adjustments to the 00Z and 12Z model suites ahead of the daily observation window used for market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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