Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daily maximum of 32–33°C for Shanghai on August 26 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and persistent subtropical high pressure typical of late-summer conditions. These readings align with model consensus showing minimal cooling influence from any approaching systems and surface temperatures building from overnight lows near 26–28°C. Market-implied odds favoring 31°C or 32°C reflect traders weighting historical August averages and minor forecast uncertainty, while the smaller probability on 33°C accounts for potential model spread or localized urban heat effects. Updated guidance from regional agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as short-range models converge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 26 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 26 de agosto?
31°C 47%
32°C 37%
33°C 11%
30°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
47%
32°C
37%
33°C
11%
34°C
3%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 47%
32°C 37%
33°C 11%
30°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
26°C or below
$40 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$403 Vol.
3%
30°C
$211 Vol.
8%
31°C
$1,014 Vol.
47%
32°C
$100 Vol.
37%
33°C
$56 Vol.
11%
34°C
$207 Vol.
3%
35°C
$0 Vol.
6%
36°C or higher
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daily maximum of 32–33°C for Shanghai on August 26 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and persistent subtropical high pressure typical of late-summer conditions. These readings align with model consensus showing minimal cooling influence from any approaching systems and surface temperatures building from overnight lows near 26–28°C. Market-implied odds favoring 31°C or 32°C reflect traders weighting historical August averages and minor forecast uncertainty, while the smaller probability on 33°C accounts for potential model spread or localized urban heat effects. Updated guidance from regional agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as short-range models converge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$2,141Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daily maximum of 32–33°C for Shanghai on August 26 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and persistent subtropical high pressure typical of late-summer conditions. These readings align with model consensus showing minimal cooling influence from any approaching systems and surface temperatures building from overnight lows near 26–28°C. Market-implied odds favoring 31°C or 32°C reflect traders weighting historical August averages and minor forecast uncertainty, while the smaller probability on 33°C accounts for potential model spread or localized urban heat effects. Updated guidance from regional agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as short-range models converge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,141Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daily maximum of 32–33°C for Shanghai on August 26 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and persistent subtropical high pressure typical of late-summer conditions. These readings align with model consensus showing minimal cooling influence from any approaching systems and surface temperatures building from overnight lows near 26–28°C. Market-implied odds favoring 31°C or 32°C reflect traders weighting historical August averages and minor forecast uncertainty, while the smaller probability on 33°C accounts for potential model spread or localized urban heat effects. Updated guidance from regional agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as short-range models converge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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