**Recent atmospheric conditions driven by Typhoon Dolphin are suppressing maximum temperatures in Shanghai for August 10.** The storm system, with expected landfall influences along the Zhejiang-Fujian coast extending into the Shanghai region overnight August 9 into August 10, is delivering heavy rainfall, strong winds, and extensive cloud cover that limit daytime heating. Official forecasts from sources such as the Met Office and extended models indicate highs around 28–29°C under these conditions, compared with typical early-August climatological maxima near 31–32°C. Trader-implied probabilities, led by 29°C at 41% and 28°C at 27%, align with this outlook while reflecting model spread and potential timing shifts in the rain/wind bands. Key resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by local meteorological stations, with any clearing or delayed impacts offering upside to 30°C scenarios.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 10 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 10 de agosto?
29°C 41%
28°C 28%
30°C 17%
27°C 8%
NUEVO
$24,010 Vol.
NUEVO
$24,010 Vol.
10 ago 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
28%
29°C
41%
30°C
17%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 41%
28°C 28%
30°C 17%
27°C 8%
NUEVO
$24,010 Vol.
NUEVO
$24,010 Vol.
10 ago 2026
23°C or below
$483 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$438 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$798 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,190 Vol.
1%
27°C
$3,229 Vol.
8%
28°C
$2,651 Vol.
28%
29°C
$2,773 Vol.
41%
30°C
$4,156 Vol.
17%
31°C
$3,809 Vol.
5%
32°C
$1,845 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$1,637 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent atmospheric conditions driven by Typhoon Dolphin are suppressing maximum temperatures in Shanghai for August 10.** The storm system, with expected landfall influences along the Zhejiang-Fujian coast extending into the Shanghai region overnight August 9 into August 10, is delivering heavy rainfall, strong winds, and extensive cloud cover that limit daytime heating. Official forecasts from sources such as the Met Office and extended models indicate highs around 28–29°C under these conditions, compared with typical early-August climatological maxima near 31–32°C. Trader-implied probabilities, led by 29°C at 41% and 28°C at 27%, align with this outlook while reflecting model spread and potential timing shifts in the rain/wind bands. Key resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by local meteorological stations, with any clearing or delayed impacts offering upside to 30°C scenarios.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$24,010Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent atmospheric conditions driven by Typhoon Dolphin are suppressing maximum temperatures in Shanghai for August 10.** The storm system, with expected landfall influences along the Zhejiang-Fujian coast extending into the Shanghai region overnight August 9 into August 10, is delivering heavy rainfall, strong winds, and extensive cloud cover that limit daytime heating. Official forecasts from sources such as the Met Office and extended models indicate highs around 28–29°C under these conditions, compared with typical early-August climatological maxima near 31–32°C. Trader-implied probabilities, led by 29°C at 41% and 28°C at 27%, align with this outlook while reflecting model spread and potential timing shifts in the rain/wind bands. Key resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by local meteorological stations, with any clearing or delayed impacts offering upside to 30°C scenarios.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$24,010Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent atmospheric conditions driven by Typhoon Dolphin are suppressing maximum temperatures in Shanghai for August 10.** The storm system, with expected landfall influences along the Zhejiang-Fujian coast extending into the Shanghai region overnight August 9 into August 10, is delivering heavy rainfall, strong winds, and extensive cloud cover that limit daytime heating. Official forecasts from sources such as the Met Office and extended models indicate highs around 28–29°C under these conditions, compared with typical early-August climatological maxima near 31–32°C. Trader-implied probabilities, led by 29°C at 41% and 28°C at 27%, align with this outlook while reflecting model spread and potential timing shifts in the rain/wind bands. Key resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by local meteorological stations, with any clearing or delayed impacts offering upside to 30°C scenarios.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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