Marine influence from the Pacific and the typical summer marine layer keep San Francisco highs near seasonal norms around 70°F, supporting the market's leading 75°F-or-below outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for early August 2026 show no strong offshore flow or heat-wave setup, with forecast highs mostly 68–74°F and limited warming potential. Historical climatology reinforces this, as August daily maxima rarely exceed 75°F at the airport station. Traders appear to weigh the low odds of brief 76–79°F spikes against the stronger likelihood of cooler, foggy conditions persisting into the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 9 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 9 de agosto?
75°F o menos 52%
76-77°F 23%
78-79°F 15%
80-81°F 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 ago 2026
75°F o menos
52%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F o más
<1%
75°F o menos 52%
76-77°F 23%
78-79°F 15%
80-81°F 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 ago 2026
75°F o menos
$1,538 Vol.
52%
76-77°F
$374 Vol.
23%
78-79°F
$382 Vol.
15%
80-81°F
$544 Vol.
7%
82-83°F
$481 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$168 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$247 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$251 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$266 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$305 Vol.
<1%
94°F o más
$365 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine influence from the Pacific and the typical summer marine layer keep San Francisco highs near seasonal norms around 70°F, supporting the market's leading 75°F-or-below outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for early August 2026 show no strong offshore flow or heat-wave setup, with forecast highs mostly 68–74°F and limited warming potential. Historical climatology reinforces this, as August daily maxima rarely exceed 75°F at the airport station. Traders appear to weigh the low odds of brief 76–79°F spikes against the stronger likelihood of cooler, foggy conditions persisting into the resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$4,921Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine influence from the Pacific and the typical summer marine layer keep San Francisco highs near seasonal norms around 70°F, supporting the market's leading 75°F-or-below outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for early August 2026 show no strong offshore flow or heat-wave setup, with forecast highs mostly 68–74°F and limited warming potential. Historical climatology reinforces this, as August daily maxima rarely exceed 75°F at the airport station. Traders appear to weigh the low odds of brief 76–79°F spikes against the stronger likelihood of cooler, foggy conditions persisting into the resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,921Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marine influence from the Pacific and the typical summer marine layer keep San Francisco highs near seasonal norms around 70°F, supporting the market's leading 75°F-or-below outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for early August 2026 show no strong offshore flow or heat-wave setup, with forecast highs mostly 68–74°F and limited warming potential. Historical climatology reinforces this, as August daily maxima rarely exceed 75°F at the airport station. Traders appear to weigh the low odds of brief 76–79°F spikes against the stronger likelihood of cooler, foggy conditions persisting into the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes