Trader sentiment centers on forecast uncertainty for San Francisco’s August 7 high, with 70-71°F holding a narrow 38% edge over 72-73°F at 30.5% amid typical late-summer variability. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific high are expected to moderate temperatures near the long-term August average of roughly 69-70°F, though any strengthening of the inland thermal low or delayed fog burn-off could allow modest warming into the low 70s. Official National Weather Service and model guidance emphasize the narrow range, with coastal sea-breeze effects and stratus timing as the key variables that will determine whether the daily maximum stays capped or edges higher before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 7 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 7 de agosto?
70-71 °F 41%
72-73°F 31%
68-69°F 16%
74-75°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 ago 2026
65°F o menos
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
16%
70-71 °F
41%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F o más
<1%
70-71 °F 41%
72-73°F 31%
68-69°F 16%
74-75°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 ago 2026
65°F o menos
$35 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$786 Vol.
3%
68-69°F
$37 Vol.
16%
70-71 °F
$379 Vol.
41%
72-73°F
$29 Vol.
31%
74-75°F
$128 Vol.
9%
76-77°F
$145 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$168 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$10 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$101 Vol.
<1%
84°F o más
$406 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on forecast uncertainty for San Francisco’s August 7 high, with 70-71°F holding a narrow 38% edge over 72-73°F at 30.5% amid typical late-summer variability. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific high are expected to moderate temperatures near the long-term August average of roughly 69-70°F, though any strengthening of the inland thermal low or delayed fog burn-off could allow modest warming into the low 70s. Official National Weather Service and model guidance emphasize the narrow range, with coastal sea-breeze effects and stratus timing as the key variables that will determine whether the daily maximum stays capped or edges higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$2,090Fecha de finalización
7 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on forecast uncertainty for San Francisco’s August 7 high, with 70-71°F holding a narrow 38% edge over 72-73°F at 30.5% amid typical late-summer variability. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific high are expected to moderate temperatures near the long-term August average of roughly 69-70°F, though any strengthening of the inland thermal low or delayed fog burn-off could allow modest warming into the low 70s. Official National Weather Service and model guidance emphasize the narrow range, with coastal sea-breeze effects and stratus timing as the key variables that will determine whether the daily maximum stays capped or edges higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,090Fecha de finalización
7 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on forecast uncertainty for San Francisco’s August 7 high, with 70-71°F holding a narrow 38% edge over 72-73°F at 30.5% amid typical late-summer variability. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific high are expected to moderate temperatures near the long-term August average of roughly 69-70°F, though any strengthening of the inland thermal low or delayed fog burn-off could allow modest warming into the low 70s. Official National Weather Service and model guidance emphasize the narrow range, with coastal sea-breeze effects and stratus timing as the key variables that will determine whether the daily maximum stays capped or edges higher before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes