Current short-range forecast guidance from agencies such as Roshydromet places Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 10 near 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities. This range sits slightly above the long-term August climatological average high of roughly 22–23°C, reflecting modest daytime heating without strong advection or clear-sky extremes. Recent model runs show limited spread, with any potential shift to 26°C dependent on unexpected reductions in cloud cover or changes in steering flow before the resolution window. Historical analogs from early August 2026 indicate similar stable high-pressure setups produced daily maxima clustered around these values, supporting trader consensus that new observational data or updated model outputs in the next 48 hours are unlikely to push probabilities substantially higher or lower.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 10 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 10 de agosto?
24°C 45%
25°C 31%
23°C 19%
26°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
20°C o menos
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
19%
24°C
45%
25°C
31%
26°C
7%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o más
<1%
24°C 45%
25°C 31%
23°C 19%
26°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
20°C o menos
$202 Vol.
1%
21°C
$95 Vol.
1%
22°C
$140 Vol.
3%
23°C
$451 Vol.
19%
24°C
$197 Vol.
45%
25°C
$350 Vol.
31%
26°C
$146 Vol.
7%
27°C
$127 Vol.
1%
28°C
$256 Vol.
1%
29°C
$284 Vol.
<1%
30°C o más
$189 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast guidance from agencies such as Roshydromet places Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 10 near 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities. This range sits slightly above the long-term August climatological average high of roughly 22–23°C, reflecting modest daytime heating without strong advection or clear-sky extremes. Recent model runs show limited spread, with any potential shift to 26°C dependent on unexpected reductions in cloud cover or changes in steering flow before the resolution window. Historical analogs from early August 2026 indicate similar stable high-pressure setups produced daily maxima clustered around these values, supporting trader consensus that new observational data or updated model outputs in the next 48 hours are unlikely to push probabilities substantially higher or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$2,437Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast guidance from agencies such as Roshydromet places Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 10 near 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities. This range sits slightly above the long-term August climatological average high of roughly 22–23°C, reflecting modest daytime heating without strong advection or clear-sky extremes. Recent model runs show limited spread, with any potential shift to 26°C dependent on unexpected reductions in cloud cover or changes in steering flow before the resolution window. Historical analogs from early August 2026 indicate similar stable high-pressure setups produced daily maxima clustered around these values, supporting trader consensus that new observational data or updated model outputs in the next 48 hours are unlikely to push probabilities substantially higher or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,437Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecast guidance from agencies such as Roshydromet places Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 10 near 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities. This range sits slightly above the long-term August climatological average high of roughly 22–23°C, reflecting modest daytime heating without strong advection or clear-sky extremes. Recent model runs show limited spread, with any potential shift to 26°C dependent on unexpected reductions in cloud cover or changes in steering flow before the resolution window. Historical analogs from early August 2026 indicate similar stable high-pressure setups produced daily maxima clustered around these values, supporting trader consensus that new observational data or updated model outputs in the next 48 hours are unlikely to push probabilities substantially higher or lower.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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