Recent short-range model consensus from sources including the GFS and ECMWF points to a maximum temperature near 22–23 °C on 7 September, driven by widespread afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers typical of the late-summer rainy season over the Mexican Plateau. Persistent moisture and reduced insolation limit daytime heating despite the high-elevation urban setting, where the urban heat island effect is offset by orographic cooling. Minor differences among runs—mainly the timing and intensity of convective cells—account for the close market spread between 22 °C, 23 °C, and 24 °C or higher, while historical September averages near 23 °C provide a climatological anchor. Updated model guidance and satellite observations expected in the next 48 hours could shift probabilities if clearer skies develop.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 7 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 7 de septiembre?
23°C 37%
24°C o más 26%
22°C 23%
21°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 sep 2026
14°C o menos
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
6%
21°C
11%
22°C
23%
23°C
37%
24°C o más
26%
23°C 37%
24°C o más 26%
22°C 23%
21°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 sep 2026
14°C o menos
$0 Vol.
3%
15°C
$0 Vol.
4%
16°C
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C
$0 Vol.
4%
18°C
$0 Vol.
4%
19°C
$0 Vol.
4%
20°C
$17 Vol.
6%
21°C
$27 Vol.
11%
22°C
$0 Vol.
23%
23°C
$0 Vol.
37%
24°C o más
$78 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from sources including the GFS and ECMWF points to a maximum temperature near 22–23 °C on 7 September, driven by widespread afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers typical of the late-summer rainy season over the Mexican Plateau. Persistent moisture and reduced insolation limit daytime heating despite the high-elevation urban setting, where the urban heat island effect is offset by orographic cooling. Minor differences among runs—mainly the timing and intensity of convective cells—account for the close market spread between 22 °C, 23 °C, and 24 °C or higher, while historical September averages near 23 °C provide a climatological anchor. Updated model guidance and satellite observations expected in the next 48 hours could shift probabilities if clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volumen
$122Fecha de finalización
7 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from sources including the GFS and ECMWF points to a maximum temperature near 22–23 °C on 7 September, driven by widespread afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers typical of the late-summer rainy season over the Mexican Plateau. Persistent moisture and reduced insolation limit daytime heating despite the high-elevation urban setting, where the urban heat island effect is offset by orographic cooling. Minor differences among runs—mainly the timing and intensity of convective cells—account for the close market spread between 22 °C, 23 °C, and 24 °C or higher, while historical September averages near 23 °C provide a climatological anchor. Updated model guidance and satellite observations expected in the next 48 hours could shift probabilities if clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$122Fecha de finalización
7 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from sources including the GFS and ECMWF points to a maximum temperature near 22–23 °C on 7 September, driven by widespread afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers typical of the late-summer rainy season over the Mexican Plateau. Persistent moisture and reduced insolation limit daytime heating despite the high-elevation urban setting, where the urban heat island effect is offset by orographic cooling. Minor differences among runs—mainly the timing and intensity of convective cells—account for the close market spread between 22 °C, 23 °C, and 24 °C or higher, while historical September averages near 23 °C provide a climatological anchor. Updated model guidance and satellite observations expected in the next 48 hours could shift probabilities if clearer skies develop.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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