Recent model guidance for Mexico City on August 12 points to a maximum near 24–26°C, driving the tight market contest between the 26°C (44%) and 25°C (38.5%) outcomes. The city’s 2,240-meter elevation and peak rainy-season conditions—marked by afternoon convective cloud build-up and scattered showers—routinely limit surface heating by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Official forecasts from agencies such as the Met Office and local observations show only modest day-to-day variability around these values, with no strong signals for outliers. Traders weigh ensemble spread, historical August highs averaging near 24°C, and the precise timing of any showers when assigning probabilities ahead of the day’s official high-temperature measurement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 12 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 12 de agosto?
26°C 44%
25°C 38%
27°C 11%
24°C 10%
NUEVO
$10,354 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,354 Vol.
12 ago 2026
19°C o menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
10%
25°C
38%
26°C
44%
27°C
11%
28°C
1%
29°C o más
1%
26°C 44%
25°C 38%
27°C 11%
24°C 10%
NUEVO
$10,354 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,354 Vol.
12 ago 2026
19°C o menos
$493 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$493 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$612 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$473 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,183 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,438 Vol.
10%
25°C
$1,460 Vol.
38%
26°C
$1,951 Vol.
44%
27°C
$1,014 Vol.
11%
28°C
$665 Vol.
1%
29°C o más
$572 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance for Mexico City on August 12 points to a maximum near 24–26°C, driving the tight market contest between the 26°C (44%) and 25°C (38.5%) outcomes. The city’s 2,240-meter elevation and peak rainy-season conditions—marked by afternoon convective cloud build-up and scattered showers—routinely limit surface heating by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Official forecasts from agencies such as the Met Office and local observations show only modest day-to-day variability around these values, with no strong signals for outliers. Traders weigh ensemble spread, historical August highs averaging near 24°C, and the precise timing of any showers when assigning probabilities ahead of the day’s official high-temperature measurement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volumen
$10,354Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance for Mexico City on August 12 points to a maximum near 24–26°C, driving the tight market contest between the 26°C (44%) and 25°C (38.5%) outcomes. The city’s 2,240-meter elevation and peak rainy-season conditions—marked by afternoon convective cloud build-up and scattered showers—routinely limit surface heating by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Official forecasts from agencies such as the Met Office and local observations show only modest day-to-day variability around these values, with no strong signals for outliers. Traders weigh ensemble spread, historical August highs averaging near 24°C, and the precise timing of any showers when assigning probabilities ahead of the day’s official high-temperature measurement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,354Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance for Mexico City on August 12 points to a maximum near 24–26°C, driving the tight market contest between the 26°C (44%) and 25°C (38.5%) outcomes. The city’s 2,240-meter elevation and peak rainy-season conditions—marked by afternoon convective cloud build-up and scattered showers—routinely limit surface heating by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Official forecasts from agencies such as the Met Office and local observations show only modest day-to-day variability around these values, with no strong signals for outliers. Traders weigh ensemble spread, historical August highs averaging near 24°C, and the precise timing of any showers when assigning probabilities ahead of the day’s official high-temperature measurement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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