Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a mainly fine, extremely hot day on August 10 with a projected maximum of 35°C, driving trader emphasis on that threshold amid closely matched odds for 34–36°C. Subtropical high pressure and weak westerly flow promote strong solar insolation and limited cloud cover, while high humidity and the urban heat island amplify daytime peaks. Global model consensus shows modest spread around these values due to subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing. Updated guidance and any late adjustments to steering patterns or convective initiation will determine whether readings settle at or above the 35°C mark.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 10 de agosto?
35°C 37%
34°C 31%
36°C 22%
37°C 7%
$34,858 Vol.
$34,858 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
31%
35°C
37%
36°C
22%
37°C
7%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 37%
34°C 31%
36°C 22%
37°C 7%
$34,858 Vol.
$34,858 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
31%
35°C
37%
36°C
22%
37°C
7%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a mainly fine, extremely hot day on August 10 with a projected maximum of 35°C, driving trader emphasis on that threshold amid closely matched odds for 34–36°C. Subtropical high pressure and weak westerly flow promote strong solar insolation and limited cloud cover, while high humidity and the urban heat island amplify daytime peaks. Global model consensus shows modest spread around these values due to subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing. Updated guidance and any late adjustments to steering patterns or convective initiation will determine whether readings settle at or above the 35°C mark.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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