**NWS forecasts for Denver on August 23, 2026, call for a high near 93°F under mostly sunny skies with a 40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms after 4 pm.** This places the expected peak squarely in the 92–93°F bin that currently holds 61% implied probability, with the adjacent 90–91°F and 94–95°F ranges capturing the remaining meaningful market share. Official guidance from the National Weather Service Denver-Boulder office reflects model consensus showing above-normal temperatures driven by strong insolation and light winds, offset only modestly by potential evaporative cooling or cloud cover if convection develops. Yesterday’s observed maximum of 92°F provides a close analog, and the seasonal normal of 87°F underscores the warm anomaly supporting odds concentrated in the low-to-mid 90s. Traders appear to weight the authoritative NWS point forecast most heavily, with limited dispersion reflecting uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity rather than broader temperature swings. No major model shifts or observational updates have altered this positioning in the past 24 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Denver el 23 de agosto?
92-93°F 61%
90-91°F 27%
94-95°F 13%
88-89°F 3%
$10,899 Vol.
$10,899 Vol.
79°F o menos
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
27%
92-93°F
61%
94-95°F
13%
96-97°F
2%
98°F o más
<1%
92-93°F 61%
90-91°F 27%
94-95°F 13%
88-89°F 3%
$10,899 Vol.
$10,899 Vol.
79°F o menos
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
27%
92-93°F
61%
94-95°F
13%
96-97°F
2%
98°F o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...**NWS forecasts for Denver on August 23, 2026, call for a high near 93°F under mostly sunny skies with a 40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms after 4 pm.** This places the expected peak squarely in the 92–93°F bin that currently holds 61% implied probability, with the adjacent 90–91°F and 94–95°F ranges capturing the remaining meaningful market share. Official guidance from the National Weather Service Denver-Boulder office reflects model consensus showing above-normal temperatures driven by strong insolation and light winds, offset only modestly by potential evaporative cooling or cloud cover if convection develops. Yesterday’s observed maximum of 92°F provides a close analog, and the seasonal normal of 87°F underscores the warm anomaly supporting odds concentrated in the low-to-mid 90s. Traders appear to weight the authoritative NWS point forecast most heavily, with limited dispersion reflecting uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity rather than broader temperature swings. No major model shifts or observational updates have altered this positioning in the past 24 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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