Current forecasts from meteorological models and agencies such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a maximum of around 16°C for Buenos Aires on August 4 under mostly cloudy skies and typical late-winter westerly flow, aligning with the market's leading 58.5% implied probability for that outcome. Recent observations show a cooling trend after early-August highs of 19–21°C, consistent with seasonal norms where average daily maxima range 15–17°C amid reduced solar insolation and frequent cloud cover in the humid subtropical climate. Ensemble guidance shows limited variability, supporting secondary probabilities clustered at 15°C (22.5%) and 17°C (20%), while outcomes above 18°C or below 14°C remain low-probability given stable atmospheric conditions and absence of anomalous warm-air advection or cold fronts. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these market-implied odds as the day progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 4 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 4 de agosto?
16°C 67%
17°C 28%
15°C 9%
18°C 5%
$27,345 Vol.
$27,345 Vol.
4 ago 2026
12°C o menos
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
9%
16°C
67%
17°C
28%
18°C
5%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o más
<1%
16°C 67%
17°C 28%
15°C 9%
18°C 5%
$27,345 Vol.
$27,345 Vol.
4 ago 2026
12°C o menos
$582 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$556 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,820 Vol.
4%
15°C
$2,403 Vol.
9%
16°C
$4,801 Vol.
67%
17°C
$8,409 Vol.
28%
18°C
$1,911 Vol.
5%
19°C
$2,484 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$785 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,325 Vol.
<1%
22°C o más
$2,269 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models and agencies such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a maximum of around 16°C for Buenos Aires on August 4 under mostly cloudy skies and typical late-winter westerly flow, aligning with the market's leading 58.5% implied probability for that outcome. Recent observations show a cooling trend after early-August highs of 19–21°C, consistent with seasonal norms where average daily maxima range 15–17°C amid reduced solar insolation and frequent cloud cover in the humid subtropical climate. Ensemble guidance shows limited variability, supporting secondary probabilities clustered at 15°C (22.5%) and 17°C (20%), while outcomes above 18°C or below 14°C remain low-probability given stable atmospheric conditions and absence of anomalous warm-air advection or cold fronts. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these market-implied odds as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$27,345Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models and agencies such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a maximum of around 16°C for Buenos Aires on August 4 under mostly cloudy skies and typical late-winter westerly flow, aligning with the market's leading 58.5% implied probability for that outcome. Recent observations show a cooling trend after early-August highs of 19–21°C, consistent with seasonal norms where average daily maxima range 15–17°C amid reduced solar insolation and frequent cloud cover in the humid subtropical climate. Ensemble guidance shows limited variability, supporting secondary probabilities clustered at 15°C (22.5%) and 17°C (20%), while outcomes above 18°C or below 14°C remain low-probability given stable atmospheric conditions and absence of anomalous warm-air advection or cold fronts. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these market-implied odds as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$27,345Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models and agencies such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a maximum of around 16°C for Buenos Aires on August 4 under mostly cloudy skies and typical late-winter westerly flow, aligning with the market's leading 58.5% implied probability for that outcome. Recent observations show a cooling trend after early-August highs of 19–21°C, consistent with seasonal norms where average daily maxima range 15–17°C amid reduced solar insolation and frequent cloud cover in the humid subtropical climate. Ensemble guidance shows limited variability, supporting secondary probabilities clustered at 15°C (22.5%) and 17°C (20%), while outcomes above 18°C or below 14°C remain low-probability given stable atmospheric conditions and absence of anomalous warm-air advection or cold fronts. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these market-implied odds as the day progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes