The closely contested 50.5% implied probability for an "Up" move in the First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) by August 31 stems from steady collector demand for its Kanto, Sinnoh, and Alola promo cards offsetting broader TCG market softness. Series 1, released in March at $14.99 MSRP, has traded in the low-to-mid $60s on platforms like TCGPlayer and Collectr amid heavy retail discounting, while the August 7 launch of Series 3 has introduced fresh supply and shifted some attention toward newer regional promos. Ongoing Amazon deals on Series 2 and typical post-hype price erosion for sealed product create downward pressure, yet strong secondary-market interest in the illustration rares keeps the market balanced. A decisive shift could come from final-week retailer restocks, updated Collectr snapshots, or any Pokémon TCG announcement that reignites nostalgia-driven buying.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPrimera colección de ilustraciones para socios (serie 1) ¿El precio subió/bajó el 31 de agosto?
Primera colección de ilustraciones para socios (serie 1) ¿El precio subió/bajó el 31 de agosto?
Sube
28% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
Sube
28% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $66.86.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $66.86.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $66.86.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).The closely contested 50.5% implied probability for an "Up" move in the First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) by August 31 stems from steady collector demand for its Kanto, Sinnoh, and Alola promo cards offsetting broader TCG market softness. Series 1, released in March at $14.99 MSRP, has traded in the low-to-mid $60s on platforms like TCGPlayer and Collectr amid heavy retail discounting, while the August 7 launch of Series 3 has introduced fresh supply and shifted some attention toward newer regional promos. Ongoing Amazon deals on Series 2 and typical post-hype price erosion for sealed product create downward pressure, yet strong secondary-market interest in the illustration rares keeps the market balanced. A decisive shift could come from final-week retailer restocks, updated Collectr snapshots, or any Pokémon TCG announcement that reignites nostalgia-driven buying.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $66.86.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $66.86.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $66.86.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $66.86.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $66.86.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 3:39 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $66.86.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $66.86.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $66.86.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).The closely contested 50.5% implied probability for an "Up" move in the First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) by August 31 stems from steady collector demand for its Kanto, Sinnoh, and Alola promo cards offsetting broader TCG market softness. Series 1, released in March at $14.99 MSRP, has traded in the low-to-mid $60s on platforms like TCGPlayer and Collectr amid heavy retail discounting, while the August 7 launch of Series 3 has introduced fresh supply and shifted some attention toward newer regional promos. Ongoing Amazon deals on Series 2 and typical post-hype price erosion for sealed product create downward pressure, yet strong secondary-market interest in the illustration rares keeps the market balanced. A decisive shift could come from final-week retailer restocks, updated Collectr snapshots, or any Pokémon TCG announcement that reignites nostalgia-driven buying.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $66.86.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $66.86.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $66.86.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $66.86.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) (First Partner Collection 2026) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $66.86.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 3:39 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...The closely contested 50.5% implied probability for an "Up" move in the First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) by August 31 stems from steady collector demand for its Kanto, Sinnoh, and Alola promo cards offsetting broader TCG market softness. Series 1, released in March at $14.99 MSRP, has traded in the low-to-mid $60s on platforms like TCGPlayer and Collectr amid heavy retail discounting, while the August 7 launch of Series 3 has introduced fresh supply and shifted some attention toward newer regional promos. Ongoing Amazon deals on Series 2 and typical post-hype price erosion for sealed product create downward pressure, yet strong secondary-market interest in the illustration rares keeps the market balanced. A decisive shift could come from final-week retailer restocks, updated Collectr snapshots, or any Pokémon TCG announcement that reignites nostalgia-driven buying.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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