**Recent price surges in the Pokémon Scarlet & Violet 151 Ultra-Premium Collection (UPC) have triggered a short-term correction, supporting the market's 72.5% implied probability for "Down" by August 31.** After a sharp run-up— with secondary market values climbing rapidly through July into early August, reaching peaks near or above $1,100–$1,350 on platforms like Amazon third-party and TCGPlayer—the product has shown initial softening. Listings now hover around $830–$930, reflecting profit-taking and a modest pullback following the steep gains. Traders appear to anticipate continued stabilization or further modest declines through the end of the month, consistent with typical post-surge cooling in sealed Pokémon product after hype-driven spikes. No major new catalysts, such as fresh reprints or high-profile releases, are positioned to reverse this near-term momentum before the resolution date. The 151 set's established collector demand and prior print-run dynamics underpin longer-term strength, but the immediate chart trajectory favors downside or flat movement in the two-week window.