María Corina Machado remains in exile outside Venezuela as of September 2026, with her return blocked by the Delcy Rodríguez interim government amid ongoing political transition talks following the U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro. Her most recent attempt in late June, prompted by twin earthquakes, involved plans to enter via Curaçao or Panama but was halted by closed airspace, lack of valid travel documents, and explicit U.S. signals against unilateral action without coordination. Trump administration priorities have emphasized stability and phased negotiations over immediate opposition leadership changes, while Machado has publicly committed to reentry before year-end to pursue elections and reconstruction roles. These factors shape trader views on timing, routes, and conditions for any crossing.