Skip to main content

Um in den USA zu traden, geh zu polymarket.us

icon for Elon Musk # tweets 4. September - 11. September 2026?
Politik·Kultur

Elon Musk # tweets 4. September - 11. September 2026?

icon for Elon Musk # tweets 4. September - 11. September 2026?
Politik·Kultur

Elon Musk # tweets 4. September - 11. September 2026?

Sep. 8

Sep. 11

Sep. 15

Sep. 8

Sep. 11

Sep. 15

TWEET COUNT
36
Verbleibende Zeit
TWEETS
36
Verbleibende Zeit

200-219 19%

180-199 17%

220-239 16%

240–259 14.9%

Polymarket

$211,863 Vol.

200-219 19%

180-199 17%

220-239 16%

240–259 14.9%

Polymarket

$211,863 Vol.

20-39

$382 Vol.

<1%

40-59

$2,382 Vol.

<1%

60-79

$7,438 Vol.

<1%

80-99

$27,235 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$32,274 Vol.

1%

120-139

$10,486 Vol.

1%

140-159

$5,242 Vol.

3%

160-179

$2,983 Vol.

9%

180-199

$4,135 Vol.

17%

200-219

$5,336 Vol.

19%

220-239

$4,668 Vol.

16%

240–259

$2,905 Vol.

15%

260-279

$2,230 Vol.

10%

280-299

$2,215 Vol.

6%

300-319

$10,846 Vol.

3%

320-339

$3,101 Vol.

2%

340-359

$3,212 Vol.

1%

360-379

$5,800 Vol.

1%

380-399

$8,854 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$9,093 Vol.

<1%

420–439

$9,374 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$5,223 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$5,410 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$5,988 Vol.

<1%

500+

$33,669 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Recent weekly settlements for Elon Musk's X activity, including 160-179 and 220-239 brackets in late August and early September 2026, anchor trader expectations around 180-239 tweets for the September 4-11 window.** His posting pace has fluctuated with business updates, platform developments at X, and replies to trending topics, averaging roughly 30-50 posts daily in quieter stretches but spiking higher during news cycles. With probabilities tightly clustered among the top three brackets, markets reflect uncertainty over whether routine Tesla, SpaceX, or Grok-related engagement will push volume toward the middle or upper end of that band. No major political or product announcements appear imminent to trigger a surge, leaving the outcome dependent on organic reply volume and any late-week platform momentum.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$211,863
Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://x.com/elonmusk

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Recent weekly settlements for Elon Musk's X activity, including 160-179 and 220-239 brackets in late August and early September 2026, anchor trader expectations around 180-239 tweets for the September 4-11 window.** His posting pace has fluctuated with business updates, platform developments at X, and replies to trending topics, averaging roughly 30-50 posts daily in quieter stretches but spiking higher during news cycles. With probabilities tightly clustered among the top three brackets, markets reflect uncertainty over whether routine Tesla, SpaceX, or Grok-related engagement will push volume toward the middle or upper end of that band. No major political or product announcements appear imminent to trigger a surge, leaving the outcome dependent on organic reply volume and any late-week platform momentum.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$211,863
Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://x.com/elonmusk

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Agustín Ramírez: Home Runs O/U 0.5

Agustín Ramírez: Home Runs O/U 0.5

50%
Over
icon for Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?

Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?

38%
icon for Wird die Republikanische Partei den Sitz des Repräsentantenhauses im Bezirk TX-31 gewinnen?

Wird die Republikanische Partei den Sitz des Repräsentantenhauses im Bezirk TX-31 gewinnen?

93%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Elon Musk # tweets 4. September - 11. September 2026?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 26 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „200-219" mit 19%, gefolgt von „180-199" mit 17%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 19¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 19% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Elon Musk # tweets 4. September - 11. September 2026?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $211.9K generiert, seit der Markt am Sep 1, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Elon Musk # tweets 4. September - 11. September 2026?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 26 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Elon Musk # tweets 4. September - 11. September 2026?" ist „200-219" mit 19%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 19% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „180-199" mit 17%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Elon Musk # tweets 4. September - 11. September 2026?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.