Israel's government has accelerated de facto control over West Bank territory through settlement expansion, outpost legalization, state land declarations, and infrastructure projects, including recent measures in Areas A and C. However, formal annexation—via explicit legislation or sovereignty declarations—has not advanced to a vote or implementation stage. Coalition dynamics, upcoming fall 2026 elections, and external diplomatic pressures have kept such steps off the immediate agenda. Traders assign a 95.5% probability to no formal annexation before 2027, reflecting the pattern of incremental administrative changes rather than a decisive legal shift. A post-election government realignment, new security developments, or altered U.S. or regional stances could still alter this trajectory within the remaining months.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWird Israel das Westjordanland vor 2027 annektieren?
Wird Israel das Westjordanland vor 2027 annektieren?
Ja
5% Chance
$90,525 Vol.
$90,525 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
5% Chance
$90,525 Vol.
$90,525 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's government has accelerated de facto control over West Bank territory through settlement expansion, outpost legalization, state land declarations, and infrastructure projects, including recent measures in Areas A and C. However, formal annexation—via explicit legislation or sovereignty declarations—has not advanced to a vote or implementation stage. Coalition dynamics, upcoming fall 2026 elections, and external diplomatic pressures have kept such steps off the immediate agenda. Traders assign a 95.5% probability to no formal annexation before 2027, reflecting the pattern of incremental administrative changes rather than a decisive legal shift. A post-election government realignment, new security developments, or altered U.S. or regional stances could still alter this trajectory within the remaining months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
Volumen
$90,525Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's government has accelerated de facto control over West Bank territory through settlement expansion, outpost legalization, state land declarations, and infrastructure projects, including recent measures in Areas A and C. However, formal annexation—via explicit legislation or sovereignty declarations—has not advanced to a vote or implementation stage. Coalition dynamics, upcoming fall 2026 elections, and external diplomatic pressures have kept such steps off the immediate agenda. Traders assign a 95.5% probability to no formal annexation before 2027, reflecting the pattern of incremental administrative changes rather than a decisive legal shift. A post-election government realignment, new security developments, or altered U.S. or regional stances could still alter this trajectory within the remaining months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$90,525Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Israel's government has accelerated de facto control over West Bank territory through settlement expansion, outpost legalization, state land declarations, and infrastructure projects, including recent measures in Areas A and C. However, formal annexation—via explicit legislation or sovereignty declarations—has not advanced to a vote or implementation stage. Coalition dynamics, upcoming fall 2026 elections, and external diplomatic pressures have kept such steps off the immediate agenda. Traders assign a 95.5% probability to no formal annexation before 2027, reflecting the pattern of incremental administrative changes rather than a decisive legal shift. A post-election government realignment, new security developments, or altered U.S. or regional stances could still alter this trajectory within the remaining months.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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