Recent cabinet turnover, including the April 2026 removal of Attorney General Pam Bondi and resignation of Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer followed by Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard’s June exit, has shaped trader views on stability. With Chief of Staff Susie Wiles credited for tighter coordination, implied probabilities favor limited further change before 2027. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leads among individuals due to his direct policy influence at Health and Human Services, prior deputy issues, and succession mechanics that could accelerate a departure. Energy Secretary Chris Wright’s earlier reported friction with White House priorities on agency initiatives lingers in assessments despite later presidential praise. Praise for Interior Secretary Doug Burgum and EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin, alongside lower odds for others, reflects fewer immediate performance or alignment concerns among remaining officials.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNone before 2027 47.9%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 18.2%
Doug Burgum 5.9%
Susie Wiles 5.9%
$42,090 Vol.
$42,090 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
None before 2027
48%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
18%
Doug Burgum
6%
Susie Wiles
6%
Chris Wright
10%
Russell T. Vought
5%
Lee Zeldin
6%
Pete Hegseth
4%
Scott Bessent
3%
Scott Turner
3%
Howard Lutnick
2%
Brooke Rollins
2%
J.D. Vance
2%
Sean Duffy
2%
Jamieson Greer
2%
Marco Rubio
1%
John Ratcliffe
1%
Mike Waltz
1%
Linda McMahon
1%
Kelly Loeffler
1%
Doug Collins
<1%
None before 2027 47.9%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 18.2%
Doug Burgum 5.9%
Susie Wiles 5.9%
$42,090 Vol.
$42,090 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
None before 2027
$8,024 Vol.
48%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$18,346 Vol.
18%
Doug Burgum
$779 Vol.
6%
Susie Wiles
$3,362 Vol.
6%
Chris Wright
$730 Vol.
10%
Russell T. Vought
$473 Vol.
5%
Lee Zeldin
$636 Vol.
6%
Pete Hegseth
$939 Vol.
4%
Scott Bessent
$1,473 Vol.
3%
Scott Turner
$351 Vol.
3%
Howard Lutnick
$826 Vol.
2%
Brooke Rollins
$670 Vol.
2%
J.D. Vance
$581 Vol.
2%
Sean Duffy
$632 Vol.
2%
Jamieson Greer
$478 Vol.
2%
Marco Rubio
$498 Vol.
1%
John Ratcliffe
$517 Vol.
1%
Mike Waltz
$646 Vol.
1%
Linda McMahon
$847 Vol.
1%
Kelly Loeffler
$776 Vol.
1%
Doug Collins
$506 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Recent cabinet turnover, including the April 2026 removal of Attorney General Pam Bondi and resignation of Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer followed by Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard’s June exit, has shaped trader views on stability. With Chief of Staff Susie Wiles credited for tighter coordination, implied probabilities favor limited further change before 2027. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leads among individuals due to his direct policy influence at Health and Human Services, prior deputy issues, and succession mechanics that could accelerate a departure. Energy Secretary Chris Wright’s earlier reported friction with White House priorities on agency initiatives lingers in assessments despite later presidential praise. Praise for Interior Secretary Doug Burgum and EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin, alongside lower odds for others, reflects fewer immediate performance or alignment concerns among remaining officials.
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: May 22, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Volumen
$42,090Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
May 22, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Recent cabinet turnover, including the April 2026 removal of Attorney General Pam Bondi and resignation of Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer followed by Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard’s June exit, has shaped trader views on stability. With Chief of Staff Susie Wiles credited for tighter coordination, implied probabilities favor limited further change before 2027. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leads among individuals due to his direct policy influence at Health and Human Services, prior deputy issues, and succession mechanics that could accelerate a departure. Energy Secretary Chris Wright’s earlier reported friction with White House priorities on agency initiatives lingers in assessments despite later presidential praise. Praise for Interior Secretary Doug Burgum and EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin, alongside lower odds for others, reflects fewer immediate performance or alignment concerns among remaining officials.
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Volumen
$42,090Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
May 22, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cabinet turnover, including the April 2026 removal of Attorney General Pam Bondi and resignation of Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer followed by Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard’s June exit, has shaped trader views on stability. With Chief of Staff Susie Wiles credited for tighter coordination, implied probabilities favor limited further change before 2027. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leads among individuals due to his direct policy influence at Health and Human Services, prior deputy issues, and succession mechanics that could accelerate a departure. Energy Secretary Chris Wright’s earlier reported friction with White House priorities on agency initiatives lingers in assessments despite later presidential praise. Praise for Interior Secretary Doug Burgum and EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin, alongside lower odds for others, reflects fewer immediate performance or alignment concerns among remaining officials.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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