MiniMax holds a modest edge in trader sentiment for the best image-to-video model by end of October, driven by its H3 and post-trained H3 Max releases that recently topped Artificial Analysis and Design Arena I2V leaderboards with strong prompt adherence, motion realism, and generation speed. ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0/2.5 variants remain close contenders on subject consistency and multi-reference support, while Kling 3.0, Google’s Veo 3.1/Gemini Omni, Runway Gen-4.5, Luma, and Pika each lead in specific areas such as character stability, native audio, or creative controls. The tight clustering around 50% implied probability reflects rapid iteration across labs, subjective evaluation criteria, and the potential for new updates or benchmark shifts to alter the ranking before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMiniMax 48%
ByteDance 28%
Google 27%
Pika 27%
NEU
NEU
31. Okt. 2026
MiniMax
48%
ByteDance
28%
27%
Pika
27%
Lightricks
26%
Black Forest Labs
15%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
25%
Luma AI
25%
Runway
25%
Pruna
24%
Tencent
23%
Shengshu
23%
SpaceXAI
23%
Pixverse
21%
KlingAI
14%
MiniMax 48%
ByteDance 28%
Google 27%
Pika 27%
NEU
NEU
31. Okt. 2026
MiniMax
$67 Vol.
48%
ByteDance
$47 Vol.
28%
$34 Vol.
27%
Pika
$34 Vol.
27%
Lightricks
$47 Vol.
26%
Black Forest Labs
$53 Vol.
15%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
$47 Vol.
25%
Luma AI
$34 Vol.
25%
Runway
$66 Vol.
25%
Pruna
$47 Vol.
24%
Tencent
$58 Vol.
23%
Shengshu
$41 Vol.
23%
SpaceXAI
$34 Vol.
23%
Pixverse
$47 Vol.
21%
KlingAI
$47 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Image-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".MiniMax holds a modest edge in trader sentiment for the best image-to-video model by end of October, driven by its H3 and post-trained H3 Max releases that recently topped Artificial Analysis and Design Arena I2V leaderboards with strong prompt adherence, motion realism, and generation speed. ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0/2.5 variants remain close contenders on subject consistency and multi-reference support, while Kling 3.0, Google’s Veo 3.1/Gemini Omni, Runway Gen-4.5, Luma, and Pika each lead in specific areas such as character stability, native audio, or creative controls. The tight clustering around 50% implied probability reflects rapid iteration across labs, subjective evaluation criteria, and the potential for new updates or benchmark shifts to alter the ranking before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Image-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
Volumen
$704Enddatum
1. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 3:52 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Image-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".MiniMax holds a modest edge in trader sentiment for the best image-to-video model by end of October, driven by its H3 and post-trained H3 Max releases that recently topped Artificial Analysis and Design Arena I2V leaderboards with strong prompt adherence, motion realism, and generation speed. ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0/2.5 variants remain close contenders on subject consistency and multi-reference support, while Kling 3.0, Google’s Veo 3.1/Gemini Omni, Runway Gen-4.5, Luma, and Pika each lead in specific areas such as character stability, native audio, or creative controls. The tight clustering around 50% implied probability reflects rapid iteration across labs, subjective evaluation criteria, and the potential for new updates or benchmark shifts to alter the ranking before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Image-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$704Enddatum
1. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 3:52 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...MiniMax holds a modest edge in trader sentiment for the best image-to-video model by end of October, driven by its H3 and post-trained H3 Max releases that recently topped Artificial Analysis and Design Arena I2V leaderboards with strong prompt adherence, motion realism, and generation speed. ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0/2.5 variants remain close contenders on subject consistency and multi-reference support, while Kling 3.0, Google’s Veo 3.1/Gemini Omni, Runway Gen-4.5, Luma, and Pika each lead in specific areas such as character stability, native audio, or creative controls. The tight clustering around 50% implied probability reflects rapid iteration across labs, subjective evaluation criteria, and the potential for new updates or benchmark shifts to alter the ranking before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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