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Technik·AI

Welches Unternehmen hat Ende Oktober die beste Text-zu-Video-KI?

icon for Welches Unternehmen hat Ende Oktober die beste Text-zu-Video-KI?
Technik·AI

Welches Unternehmen hat Ende Oktober die beste Text-zu-Video-KI?

Aug. 31

Sep. 30

Okt. 31

Aug. 31

Sep. 30

Okt. 31

Google 55%

Pika 25%

Tencent 25%

SpaceXAI 25%

Polymarket
NEU

Google 55%

Pika 25%

Tencent 25%

SpaceXAI 25%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Google

Google

$37 Vol.

55%

icon for Pika

Pika

$37 Vol.

25%

icon for Tencent

Tencent

$37 Vol.

25%

icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$37 Vol.

25%

icon for KlingAI

KlingAI

$37 Vol.

24%

icon for Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH

Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH

$37 Vol.

23%

icon for Pixverse

Pixverse

$37 Vol.

23%

icon for Pruna

Pruna

$37 Vol.

23%

icon for Meta

Meta

$37 Vol.

19%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$37 Vol.

18%

icon for Lightricks

Lightricks

$53 Vol.

15%

icon for Luma AI

Luma AI

$74 Vol.

5%

icon for Runway

Runway

$37 Vol.

5%

icon for Kandinsky

Kandinsky

$51 Vol.

5%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$57 Vol.

14%

icon for Genmo AI

Genmo AI

$57 Vol.

22%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$57 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google leads market-implied odds at 55% for the best text-to-video AI by end of October due to Veo 3.1’s strong positioning in recent comparisons for realism, prompt adherence, native audio synchronization, and narrative control following its 2025 updates. Multiple models compete closely across specialized strengths—ByteDance’s Seedance 2.5 excels in longer clips and local editing, OpenAI’s Sora 2 in physics consistency, while Kling, Runway Gen-4.5, and Luma variants lead in cost, speed, or cinematic motion. Traders weigh official capability demonstrations, API access, and production workflow fit against rapid iteration cycles, with any new releases or benchmark updates before October likely to shift the tight field.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$756
Enddatum
31. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google leads market-implied odds at 55% for the best text-to-video AI by end of October due to Veo 3.1’s strong positioning in recent comparisons for realism, prompt adherence, native audio synchronization, and narrative control following its 2025 updates. Multiple models compete closely across specialized strengths—ByteDance’s Seedance 2.5 excels in longer clips and local editing, OpenAI’s Sora 2 in physics consistency, while Kling, Runway Gen-4.5, and Luma variants lead in cost, speed, or cinematic motion. Traders weigh official capability demonstrations, API access, and production workflow fit against rapid iteration cycles, with any new releases or benchmark updates before October likely to shift the tight field.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$756
Enddatum
31. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Verwandte

icon for Wird Google Ende September 2026 die beste Text-zu-Video-KI haben?

Wird Google Ende September 2026 die beste Text-zu-Video-KI haben?

46%
Ja
icon for Wird OpenAI Ende Oktober 2026 die beste Text-zu-Bild-KI haben?

Wird OpenAI Ende Oktober 2026 die beste Text-zu-Bild-KI haben?

63%
Ja
icon for Wird Google Ende August 2026 die beste Text-zu-Video-KI haben?

Wird Google Ende August 2026 die beste Text-zu-Video-KI haben?

86%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Welches Unternehmen hat Ende Oktober die beste Text-zu-Video-KI?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 17 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Google" mit 55%, gefolgt von „Pika" mit 25%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 55¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 55% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Welches Unternehmen hat Ende Oktober die beste Text-zu-Video-KI?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 13, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Welches Unternehmen hat Ende Oktober die beste Text-zu-Video-KI?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 17 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Welches Unternehmen hat Ende Oktober die beste Text-zu-Video-KI?" ist „Google" mit 55%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 55% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Pika" mit 25%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Welches Unternehmen hat Ende Oktober die beste Text-zu-Video-KI?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.