OpenAI’s rapid release cadence—GPT-5.5 in April followed by the GPT-5.6 Sol/Terra/Luna family in a limited preview on June 26 and general availability on July 9—has shaped expectations for a 5.7+ successor. Mid-July leaks highlighted an August target for a model with 1.5M+ context, new pre-training, and agentic upgrades, while early-August reports described internal demonstrations of a next-generation system codenamed Astra that could ship as GPT-5.7 or GPT-6. Trader sentiment reflects this pattern of frequent, incremental frontier updates amid competition from other labs, tempered by historical timeline slippage and the temporary U.S. government pre-release review process applied to 5.6. Key near-term catalysts include any official announcements or further credible reporting through late August.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert31. August
31%
31. Oktober
48%
$41 Vol.
31. August
31%
31. Oktober
48%
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s rapid release cadence—GPT-5.5 in April followed by the GPT-5.6 Sol/Terra/Luna family in a limited preview on June 26 and general availability on July 9—has shaped expectations for a 5.7+ successor. Mid-July leaks highlighted an August target for a model with 1.5M+ context, new pre-training, and agentic upgrades, while early-August reports described internal demonstrations of a next-generation system codenamed Astra that could ship as GPT-5.7 or GPT-6. Trader sentiment reflects this pattern of frequent, incremental frontier updates amid competition from other labs, tempered by historical timeline slippage and the temporary U.S. government pre-release review process applied to 5.6. Key near-term catalysts include any official announcements or further credible reporting through late August.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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