Kevin Warsh, Federal Reserve Chair, delivered a hawkish Jackson Hole speech on August 28 emphasizing that PCE inflation at 3.7% year-over-year (with a 4.1% six-month rate) shows insufficient underlying progress toward the 2% target, stating the Fed has “work to do” and short-term rates remain the primary tool. This shifted trader expectations, lifting the implied probability of a September 15-16 rate hike above 50% per futures pricing. The next CPI release on September 11 will shape the FOMC statement and press conference tone, while Warsh’s prior conferences have centered on inflation frequency, price stability commitments, and resistance to detailed forward guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertInflation 40+ times
43%
Inflation 20+ times
57%
Task Force 10+ times
46%
Good Day
88%
Good Afternoon
10%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
86%
Labor Force
45%
Scenario
47%
Echo
45%
Software
45%
Pressure
45%
Luck / Lucky
45%
Dissent
22%
Trump
7%
Productivity
72%
Bet / Betting
54%
Projection
45%
Balance Sheet
80%
Pandemic
62%
Anchor / Anchored
26%
Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas
28%
-No Qualifying Event-
40%
$270 Vol.
Inflation 40+ times
43%
Inflation 20+ times
57%
Task Force 10+ times
46%
Good Day
88%
Good Afternoon
10%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
86%
Labor Force
45%
Scenario
47%
Echo
45%
Software
45%
Pressure
45%
Luck / Lucky
45%
Dissent
22%
Trump
7%
Productivity
72%
Bet / Betting
54%
Projection
45%
Balance Sheet
80%
Pandemic
62%
Anchor / Anchored
26%
Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas
28%
-No Qualifying Event-
40%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such statement by Warsh happens by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
Abwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such statement by Warsh happens by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Abwickler
0x65070BE91...Kevin Warsh, Federal Reserve Chair, delivered a hawkish Jackson Hole speech on August 28 emphasizing that PCE inflation at 3.7% year-over-year (with a 4.1% six-month rate) shows insufficient underlying progress toward the 2% target, stating the Fed has “work to do” and short-term rates remain the primary tool. This shifted trader expectations, lifting the implied probability of a September 15-16 rate hike above 50% per futures pricing. The next CPI release on September 11 will shape the FOMC statement and press conference tone, while Warsh’s prior conferences have centered on inflation frequency, price stability commitments, and resistance to detailed forward guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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