The closely matched trader-implied odds for three or four-plus dissents at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting reflect persistent policy divisions driven by inflation remaining well above the 2% target—July PCE at 3.7% headline and 3.3% core—despite recent signs of disinflation and a stable labor market with unemployment near 4.1%. The July meeting's 9-3 vote, featuring three hawkish dissents favoring an immediate 25-basis-point hike, established a precedent that incoming August CPI and PPI data could either reinforce or ease hawkish pressure ahead of the funds rate decision at 3.50-3.75%. Recent strong payroll gains have lifted market-implied hike odds above 60%, sustaining uncertainty over whether additional regional presidents or governors will join the dissent bloc depending on the inflation trajectory.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWie viele Meinungsverschiedenheiten gab es bei der Fed-Sitzung im September?
3 29%
4+ 28%
2 16%
1 15%
$14,031 Vol.
$14,031 Vol.
0
11%
1
15%
2
16%
3
29%
4+
34%
3 29%
4+ 28%
2 16%
1 15%
$14,031 Vol.
$14,031 Vol.
0
11%
1
15%
2
16%
3
29%
4+
34%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched trader-implied odds for three or four-plus dissents at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting reflect persistent policy divisions driven by inflation remaining well above the 2% target—July PCE at 3.7% headline and 3.3% core—despite recent signs of disinflation and a stable labor market with unemployment near 4.1%. The July meeting's 9-3 vote, featuring three hawkish dissents favoring an immediate 25-basis-point hike, established a precedent that incoming August CPI and PPI data could either reinforce or ease hawkish pressure ahead of the funds rate decision at 3.50-3.75%. Recent strong payroll gains have lifted market-implied hike odds above 60%, sustaining uncertainty over whether additional regional presidents or governors will join the dissent bloc depending on the inflation trajectory.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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