Delcy Rodríguez has held Venezuela’s acting presidency since a U.S. operation removed Nicolás Maduro in January 2026, with the Supreme Tribunal ordering her appointment to ensure administrative continuity and military backing. U.S. recognition, sanctions relief, oil-sector cooperation, and a three-phase stabilization plan under Secretary Marco Rubio have reinforced her position through mid-2026, while opposition figures including María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile and talks with a limited opposition delegation have produced only incremental judicial reforms. Trader consensus reflects the durability of this interim arrangement, sustained by institutional control and external support, though shifts could arise from accelerated multi-party elections, breakdown in U.S. coordination, or internal elite realignments before year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertDelcy Rodríguez 94%
María Corina Machado 3.6%
Dinorah Figuera 1.0%
Kein Staatsoberhaupt <1%
$388,971 Vol.
$388,971 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
94%
María Corina Machado
4%
Dinorah Figuera
1%
Kein Staatsoberhaupt
1%
Marco Rubio
1%
Edmundo González
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Nicolás Maduro
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Delcy Rodríguez 94%
María Corina Machado 3.6%
Dinorah Figuera 1.0%
Kein Staatsoberhaupt <1%
$388,971 Vol.
$388,971 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
$103,153 Vol.
94%
María Corina Machado
$53,170 Vol.
4%
Dinorah Figuera
$4,570 Vol.
1%
Kein Staatsoberhaupt
$67,143 Vol.
1%
Marco Rubio
$6,383 Vol.
1%
Edmundo González
$4,123 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$8,378 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$2,936 Vol.
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$3,568 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$68,169 Vol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$3,248 Vol.
<1%
Nicolás Maduro
$4,406 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$2,834 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$7,303 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$7,372 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$42,216 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez has held Venezuela’s acting presidency since a U.S. operation removed Nicolás Maduro in January 2026, with the Supreme Tribunal ordering her appointment to ensure administrative continuity and military backing. U.S. recognition, sanctions relief, oil-sector cooperation, and a three-phase stabilization plan under Secretary Marco Rubio have reinforced her position through mid-2026, while opposition figures including María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile and talks with a limited opposition delegation have produced only incremental judicial reforms. Trader consensus reflects the durability of this interim arrangement, sustained by institutional control and external support, though shifts could arise from accelerated multi-party elections, breakdown in U.S. coordination, or internal elite realignments before year-end.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Markt eröffnet: May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Volumen
$388,971Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez has held Venezuela’s acting presidency since a U.S. operation removed Nicolás Maduro in January 2026, with the Supreme Tribunal ordering her appointment to ensure administrative continuity and military backing. U.S. recognition, sanctions relief, oil-sector cooperation, and a three-phase stabilization plan under Secretary Marco Rubio have reinforced her position through mid-2026, while opposition figures including María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile and talks with a limited opposition delegation have produced only incremental judicial reforms. Trader consensus reflects the durability of this interim arrangement, sustained by institutional control and external support, though shifts could arise from accelerated multi-party elections, breakdown in U.S. coordination, or internal elite realignments before year-end.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Volumen
$388,971Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Delcy Rodríguez has held Venezuela’s acting presidency since a U.S. operation removed Nicolás Maduro in January 2026, with the Supreme Tribunal ordering her appointment to ensure administrative continuity and military backing. U.S. recognition, sanctions relief, oil-sector cooperation, and a three-phase stabilization plan under Secretary Marco Rubio have reinforced her position through mid-2026, while opposition figures including María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile and talks with a limited opposition delegation have produced only incremental judicial reforms. Trader consensus reflects the durability of this interim arrangement, sustained by institutional control and external support, though shifts could arise from accelerated multi-party elections, breakdown in U.S. coordination, or internal elite realignments before year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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