Google’s ongoing delay of Gemini 3.5 Pro—announced at I/O in May 2026 with a June target that slipped past July—continues to shape trader views on the next flagship Pro model. Internal benchmarks fell short, prompting extended partner testing and the July 21 rollout of supporting variants like 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite instead. No public API listing, pricing, or firm date has emerged as of mid-August, leaving the exact timing uncertain amid competitive pressure from other labs. Markets therefore price a broad cluster of September dates near 36% while assigning nearly equal weight to no release by month-end, reflecting the absence of confirmed milestones and Google’s history of quality-driven slips.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertKeine Veröffentlichung bis zum 30. September 36%
29. September 36%
5. September 35%
7. September 35%
Am oder vor dem 1. September
25%
2. September
32%
3. September
18%
4. September
32%
5. September
35%
6. September
33%
7. September
35%
8. September
35%
9. September
21%
10. September
35%
11. September
19%
12. September
35%
13. September
35%
14. September
35%
15. September
19%
16. September
35%
17. September
35%
18. September
21%
19. September
35%
20. September
22%
21. September
19%
22. September
35%
23. September
35%
24. September
35%
25. September
18%
26. September
22%
27. September
20%
28. September
19%
29. September
36%
30. September
35%
Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 30. September
36%
Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 30. September 36%
29. September 36%
5. September 35%
7. September 35%
Am oder vor dem 1. September
25%
2. September
32%
3. September
18%
4. September
32%
5. September
35%
6. September
33%
7. September
35%
8. September
35%
9. September
21%
10. September
35%
11. September
19%
12. September
35%
13. September
35%
14. September
35%
15. September
19%
16. September
35%
17. September
35%
18. September
21%
19. September
35%
20. September
22%
21. September
19%
22. September
35%
23. September
35%
24. September
35%
25. September
18%
26. September
22%
27. September
20%
28. September
19%
29. September
36%
30. September
35%
Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 30. September
36%
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Google’s ongoing delay of Gemini 3.5 Pro—announced at I/O in May 2026 with a June target that slipped past July—continues to shape trader views on the next flagship Pro model. Internal benchmarks fell short, prompting extended partner testing and the July 21 rollout of supporting variants like 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite instead. No public API listing, pricing, or firm date has emerged as of mid-August, leaving the exact timing uncertain amid competitive pressure from other labs. Markets therefore price a broad cluster of September dates near 36% while assigning nearly equal weight to no release by month-end, reflecting the absence of confirmed milestones and Google’s history of quality-driven slips.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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