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icon for Senatswahl Minas Gerais: 1. Platz
Politik·Globale Wahlen

Senatswahl Minas Gerais: 1. Platz

icon for Senatswahl Minas Gerais: 1. Platz
Politik·Globale Wahlen

Senatswahl Minas Gerais: 1. Platz

Marília Campos 49%

Aécio Neves 47.3%

Carlos Viana 4.0%

Domingos Sávio <1%

Polymarket

$42,673 Vol.

Marília Campos 49%

Aécio Neves 47.3%

Carlos Viana 4.0%

Domingos Sávio <1%

Polymarket

$42,673 Vol.

icon for Marília Campos

Marília Campos

$15,798 Vol.

49%

icon for Aécio Neves

Aécio Neves

$3,679 Vol.

47%

icon for Carlos Viana

Carlos Viana

$8,912 Vol.

4%

icon for Domingos Sávio

Domingos Sávio

$2,014 Vol.

1%

icon for Marcelo Heringer

Marcelo Heringer

$1,189 Vol.

<1%

icon for Áurea Carolina

Áurea Carolina

$1,307 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juiz Ramon Moreira

Juiz Ramon Moreira

$627 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcelo Aro

Marcelo Aro

$2,895 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marco Antônio Superman

Marco Antônio Superman

$719 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jordano Metalúrgico

Jordano Metalúrgico

$643 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tião Pessoa

Tião Pessoa

$623 Vol.

<1%

icon for Victória Mello Vic

Victória Mello Vic

$682 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ana Luiza do MLB

Ana Luiza do MLB

$546 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arcanjo Pimenta

Arcanjo Pimenta

$536 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlin Moura

Carlin Moura

$552 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fidélis Alcântara

Fidélis Alcântara

$648 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo Galassi

Gustavo Galassi

$601 Vol.

<1%

icon for Manoel Carvalho

Manoel Carvalho

$702 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Marília Campos (PT) and Aécio Neves (PSDB) remain the frontrunners for first place in Minas Gerais’ two-seat Senate race, with recent polls showing them separated by just a few points amid widespread voter indecision.** Surveys from July and August, including Genial/Quaest and Real Time Big Data, place Campos at 18–24% and Neves at 13–16% in consolidated first- and second-vote scenarios, while Carlos Viana (PSD), Marcelo Aro (PP), and Domingos Sávio (PL) trail in the 9–14% range and frequently fall within the margin of error. High undecided shares (10–17%) and the fact that roughly two-thirds of voters say their choice could still shift keep the contest fluid ahead of the October 4 election. Neves’ late registration in early September, after initially declining to run, has introduced fresh alliance dynamics within the PSDB-PDT-Cidadania grouping and may consolidate center support. These factors sustain tight implied probabilities in the market, with separation likely hinging on final campaign positioning, turnout patterns, and any last-minute shifts in voter preferences.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$42,673
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Marília Campos (PT) and Aécio Neves (PSDB) remain the frontrunners for first place in Minas Gerais’ two-seat Senate race, with recent polls showing them separated by just a few points amid widespread voter indecision.** Surveys from July and August, including Genial/Quaest and Real Time Big Data, place Campos at 18–24% and Neves at 13–16% in consolidated first- and second-vote scenarios, while Carlos Viana (PSD), Marcelo Aro (PP), and Domingos Sávio (PL) trail in the 9–14% range and frequently fall within the margin of error. High undecided shares (10–17%) and the fact that roughly two-thirds of voters say their choice could still shift keep the contest fluid ahead of the October 4 election. Neves’ late registration in early September, after initially declining to run, has introduced fresh alliance dynamics within the PSDB-PDT-Cidadania grouping and may consolidate center support. These factors sustain tight implied probabilities in the market, with separation likely hinging on final campaign positioning, turnout patterns, and any last-minute shifts in voter preferences.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$42,673
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Will Marília Campos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

Will Marília Campos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

35%
icon for Wird Mauro Mendes bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Mato Grosso die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Mauro Mendes bei der Senatswahl 2026 in Mato Grosso die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

64%
Ja
icon for Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?

Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?

79%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Senatswahl Minas Gerais: 1. Platz" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 18 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Marília Campos" mit 49%, gefolgt von „Aécio Neves" mit 47%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 49¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 49% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Senatswahl Minas Gerais: 1. Platz" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $42.7K generiert, seit der Markt am Aug 17, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Senatswahl Minas Gerais: 1. Platz" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 18 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Senatswahl Minas Gerais: 1. Platz" ist „Marília Campos" mit 49%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 49% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Aécio Neves" mit 47%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Senatswahl Minas Gerais: 1. Platz" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.