Recent forecast consensus from multiple models indicates mild overnight conditions in Jinan, with minimum temperatures expected near 21–24°C on September 20 amid cloudy skies, light winds, and limited radiative cooling under a warm southerly flow. This supports the near-even market split between the 22°C-or-higher and 12°C-or-below outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of residual uncertainty in final model runs and potential for localized variations in urban heat island effects or measurement timing. Historical September minima average around 16–18°C, but current atmospheric patterns show no significant cold-air advection through the period. Updated guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution will clarify whether subtle steering changes or increased cloud cover alter the expected low.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Jinan am 20. September?
12°C oder niedriger 90%
22°C oder höher 46%
19°C 22%
18°C 22%
12°C oder niedriger
90%
13°C
17%
14°C
17%
15°C
18%
16°C
20%
17°C
21%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
21%
21°C
20%
22°C oder höher
46%
12°C oder niedriger 90%
22°C oder höher 46%
19°C 22%
18°C 22%
12°C oder niedriger
90%
13°C
17%
14°C
17%
15°C
18%
16°C
20%
17°C
21%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
21%
21°C
20%
22°C oder höher
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from multiple models indicates mild overnight conditions in Jinan, with minimum temperatures expected near 21–24°C on September 20 amid cloudy skies, light winds, and limited radiative cooling under a warm southerly flow. This supports the near-even market split between the 22°C-or-higher and 12°C-or-below outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of residual uncertainty in final model runs and potential for localized variations in urban heat island effects or measurement timing. Historical September minima average around 16–18°C, but current atmospheric patterns show no significant cold-air advection through the period. Updated guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution will clarify whether subtle steering changes or increased cloud cover alter the expected low.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen