Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on September 21 show daytime highs clustered around 34–35°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, driven by persistent late-summer warmth and regional monsoon moisture. Model consensus from sources like the Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory and international outlooks points to afternoon convection that could cap peaks near 34°C or allow brief clearing to 35–36°C, while historical September averages near 31.5°C and recent days reaching 34–36°C frame the current elevated baseline. High humidity and urban heat effects add uncertainty to the precise maximum, keeping market-implied probabilities balanced across the 32–37°C range ahead of final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 21. September?
37°C oder höher 23%
33°C 21%
34°C 20%
35°C 19%
27°C oder darunter
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
10%
33°C
21%
34°C
20%
35°C
19%
36°C
19%
37°C oder höher
23%
37°C oder höher 23%
33°C 21%
34°C 20%
35°C 19%
27°C oder darunter
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
10%
33°C
21%
34°C
20%
35°C
19%
36°C
19%
37°C oder höher
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on September 21 show daytime highs clustered around 34–35°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, driven by persistent late-summer warmth and regional monsoon moisture. Model consensus from sources like the Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory and international outlooks points to afternoon convection that could cap peaks near 34°C or allow brief clearing to 35–36°C, while historical September averages near 31.5°C and recent days reaching 34–36°C frame the current elevated baseline. High humidity and urban heat effects add uncertainty to the precise maximum, keeping market-implied probabilities balanced across the 32–37°C range ahead of final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen