Official forecasts from New Zealand's MetService and global models show a maximum of 15°C for Wellington on September 19, driving the 98.5% market-implied probability. Spring climatology in the region, combined with current southerly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, aligns with this outcome based on verified observational baselines. Ensemble runs exhibit tight agreement around this value, with minimal spread in projected highs. Sudden shifts in wind direction or increased insolation from clearing skies could push readings higher, while stronger onshore breezes or earlier cloud build-up might hold the peak at or below 14°C. Updated model guidance and real-time station data will determine final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 19. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 19. September?
15°C 99%
16°C 1.2%
17°C <1%
10°C oder weniger <1%
$42,283 Vol.
$42,283 Vol.
19. Sep. 2026
10°C oder weniger
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
99%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C oder höher
<1%
15°C 99%
16°C 1.2%
17°C <1%
10°C oder weniger <1%
$42,283 Vol.
$42,283 Vol.
19. Sep. 2026
10°C oder weniger
$274 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$54 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$924 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,017 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$6,231 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$9,776 Vol.
99%
16°C
$12,291 Vol.
1%
17°C
$5,803 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,519 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,121 Vol.
<1%
20°C oder höher
$274 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from New Zealand's MetService and global models show a maximum of 15°C for Wellington on September 19, driving the 98.5% market-implied probability. Spring climatology in the region, combined with current southerly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, aligns with this outcome based on verified observational baselines. Ensemble runs exhibit tight agreement around this value, with minimal spread in projected highs. Sudden shifts in wind direction or increased insolation from clearing skies could push readings higher, while stronger onshore breezes or earlier cloud build-up might hold the peak at or below 14°C. Updated model guidance and real-time station data will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$42,283Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from New Zealand's MetService and global models show a maximum of 15°C for Wellington on September 19, driving the 98.5% market-implied probability. Spring climatology in the region, combined with current southerly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, aligns with this outcome based on verified observational baselines. Ensemble runs exhibit tight agreement around this value, with minimal spread in projected highs. Sudden shifts in wind direction or increased insolation from clearing skies could push readings higher, while stronger onshore breezes or earlier cloud build-up might hold the peak at or below 14°C. Updated model guidance and real-time station data will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$42,283Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from New Zealand's MetService and global models show a maximum of 15°C for Wellington on September 19, driving the 98.5% market-implied probability. Spring climatology in the region, combined with current southerly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, aligns with this outcome based on verified observational baselines. Ensemble runs exhibit tight agreement around this value, with minimal spread in projected highs. Sudden shifts in wind direction or increased insolation from clearing skies could push readings higher, while stronger onshore breezes or earlier cloud build-up might hold the peak at or below 14°C. Updated model guidance and real-time station data will determine final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen