Recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates a highest temperature near 27–28°C in Chengdu on September 21, driven by persistent cloud cover transitioning from overcast to mostly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating. High humidity near 80% and light variable winds under 10 km/h further suppress maximums, following several days of rain-cooled air masses. This aligns with late-September climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where subtropical monsoon influences typically yield highs around 25–27°C amid frequent cloudiness. Traders favor 28°C as the mode because ensemble spreads show limited upside potential for 29°C or higher without clearer skies or stronger subsidence, while downside risks to 26°C remain if thicker stratus develops overnight. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer mixing and radiative effects ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 21. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 21. September?
25°C 33%
28°C 28%
29°C 20%
27°C 19%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
24°C oder weniger
13%
25°C
33%
26°C
19%
27°C
19%
28°C
28%
29°C
20%
30°C
16%
31°C
18%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C oder höher
2%
25°C 33%
28°C 28%
29°C 20%
27°C 19%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
24°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
13%
25°C
$0 Vol.
33%
26°C
$0 Vol.
19%
27°C
$0 Vol.
19%
28°C
$0 Vol.
28%
29°C
$0 Vol.
20%
30°C
$0 Vol.
16%
31°C
$0 Vol.
18%
32°C
$0 Vol.
4%
33°C
$0 Vol.
2%
34°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates a highest temperature near 27–28°C in Chengdu on September 21, driven by persistent cloud cover transitioning from overcast to mostly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating. High humidity near 80% and light variable winds under 10 km/h further suppress maximums, following several days of rain-cooled air masses. This aligns with late-September climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where subtropical monsoon influences typically yield highs around 25–27°C amid frequent cloudiness. Traders favor 28°C as the mode because ensemble spreads show limited upside potential for 29°C or higher without clearer skies or stronger subsidence, while downside risks to 26°C remain if thicker stratus develops overnight. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer mixing and radiative effects ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates a highest temperature near 27–28°C in Chengdu on September 21, driven by persistent cloud cover transitioning from overcast to mostly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating. High humidity near 80% and light variable winds under 10 km/h further suppress maximums, following several days of rain-cooled air masses. This aligns with late-September climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where subtropical monsoon influences typically yield highs around 25–27°C amid frequent cloudiness. Traders favor 28°C as the mode because ensemble spreads show limited upside potential for 29°C or higher without clearer skies or stronger subsidence, while downside risks to 26°C remain if thicker stratus develops overnight. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer mixing and radiative effects ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates a highest temperature near 27–28°C in Chengdu on September 21, driven by persistent cloud cover transitioning from overcast to mostly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating. High humidity near 80% and light variable winds under 10 km/h further suppress maximums, following several days of rain-cooled air masses. This aligns with late-September climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where subtropical monsoon influences typically yield highs around 25–27°C amid frequent cloudiness. Traders favor 28°C as the mode because ensemble spreads show limited upside potential for 29°C or higher without clearer skies or stronger subsidence, while downside risks to 26°C remain if thicker stratus develops overnight. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer mixing and radiative effects ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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