**Multiple weather models and official forecasts project a daytime high of 31–32°C for Jinan on September 19, driven by continued warm, mostly sunny conditions under light northwesterly flow following similar 30–31°C readings on the 18th.** This places the outcome well above the 26°C threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region and the absence of any incoming cold front or significant cloud cover that would suppress maximum temperatures. The 97.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this strong model consensus and current surface observations, though traders monitor evening model runs for any unexpected shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing that could alter the peak by a degree or two.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Jinan am 19. September?
26°C oder höher 98%
25°C 6%
24°C 3%
16°C oder niedriger <1%
16°C oder niedriger
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C oder höher
98%
26°C oder höher 98%
25°C 6%
24°C 3%
16°C oder niedriger <1%
16°C oder niedriger
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C oder höher
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Multiple weather models and official forecasts project a daytime high of 31–32°C for Jinan on September 19, driven by continued warm, mostly sunny conditions under light northwesterly flow following similar 30–31°C readings on the 18th.** This places the outcome well above the 26°C threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region and the absence of any incoming cold front or significant cloud cover that would suppress maximum temperatures. The 97.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this strong model consensus and current surface observations, though traders monitor evening model runs for any unexpected shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing that could alter the peak by a degree or two.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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