Traders assign the highest implied probability (55.5%) to a 34°C peak in Karachi today, reflecting model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and WeatherBug for a daytime high near 33°C under partly cloudy skies, southwest winds around 10 mph, and humidity near 60-70%. Recent light rain on September 17 eased prior heat, with the prior day's maximum at 36.8°C, shifting conditions toward typical post-monsoon September norms of 32-34°C. Lower probabilities for 35°C (29%) and 33°C (9.5%) capture minor forecast spread and station-specific measurement variability, while extremes below 32°C or above 36°C remain discounted given stable steering patterns and limited intensification potential.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Karatschi am 18. September?
34°C 54%
35°C 37%
33°C 6%
36°C 3%
$19,423 Vol.
$19,423 Vol.
28°C oder weniger
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
6%
34°C
54%
35°C
37%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C oder höher
<1%
34°C 54%
35°C 37%
33°C 6%
36°C 3%
$19,423 Vol.
$19,423 Vol.
28°C oder weniger
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
6%
34°C
54%
35°C
37%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability (55.5%) to a 34°C peak in Karachi today, reflecting model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and WeatherBug for a daytime high near 33°C under partly cloudy skies, southwest winds around 10 mph, and humidity near 60-70%. Recent light rain on September 17 eased prior heat, with the prior day's maximum at 36.8°C, shifting conditions toward typical post-monsoon September norms of 32-34°C. Lower probabilities for 35°C (29%) and 33°C (9.5%) capture minor forecast spread and station-specific measurement variability, while extremes below 32°C or above 36°C remain discounted given stable steering patterns and limited intensification potential.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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