**Official National Weather Service forecasts for September 17, 2026, call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 100°F in Dallas under a strong high-pressure ridge, with light southeast winds and minimal cloud cover promoting efficient daytime heating.** This setup aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in North Texas, where solar insolation remains high before seasonal cooling advances. Model consensus shows little deviation, keeping the 98-99°F bin as the market leader at 61.5% implied probability, while the 12% chance for 100-101°F reflects the possibility of slight exceedances if mixing or insolation peaks higher than expected. Low probabilities for 96°F or below stem from the absence of any cooling mechanisms such as increased moisture or frontal passages in the latest runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dallas am 17. September?
98-99°F 62%
96-97°F 26%
100-101°F 12%
102-103°F 2%
$14,773 Vol.
$14,773 Vol.
89°F oder darunter
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
26%
98-99°F
62%
100-101°F
12%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F oder höher
<1%
98-99°F 62%
96-97°F 26%
100-101°F 12%
102-103°F 2%
$14,773 Vol.
$14,773 Vol.
89°F oder darunter
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
26%
98-99°F
62%
100-101°F
12%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service forecasts for September 17, 2026, call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 100°F in Dallas under a strong high-pressure ridge, with light southeast winds and minimal cloud cover promoting efficient daytime heating.** This setup aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in North Texas, where solar insolation remains high before seasonal cooling advances. Model consensus shows little deviation, keeping the 98-99°F bin as the market leader at 61.5% implied probability, while the 12% chance for 100-101°F reflects the possibility of slight exceedances if mixing or insolation peaks higher than expected. Low probabilities for 96°F or below stem from the absence of any cooling mechanisms such as increased moisture or frontal passages in the latest runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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