Persistent high pressure and southerly flow have maintained elevated overnight lows across North Texas, with National Weather Service and private forecasts projecting a minimum temperature in the upper 70s to low 80s for September 17. This aligns with the market’s leading 82–83 °F bucket (48 % implied probability) and supports the 80–81 °F range, while the 90 °F+ outcome reflects uncertainty over daytime heat carryover. A prolonged dry spell and absent cold fronts have kept temperatures well above the 69.6 °F climatological average low, though subtle model consensus on light winds and partial clearing overnight limits downside risk to the 71 °F-or-below tier. Updated NWS guidance and early-morning observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Dallas am 17. September?
90°F oder höher 65%
71°F oder niedriger 53%
82-83°F 48%
76-77°F 40%
71°F oder niedriger
53%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
48%
84-85 °F
22%
86-87°F
40%
88-89°F
18%
90°F oder höher
65%
90°F oder höher 65%
71°F oder niedriger 53%
82-83°F 48%
76-77°F 40%
71°F oder niedriger
53%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
48%
84-85 °F
22%
86-87°F
40%
88-89°F
18%
90°F oder höher
65%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and southerly flow have maintained elevated overnight lows across North Texas, with National Weather Service and private forecasts projecting a minimum temperature in the upper 70s to low 80s for September 17. This aligns with the market’s leading 82–83 °F bucket (48 % implied probability) and supports the 80–81 °F range, while the 90 °F+ outcome reflects uncertainty over daytime heat carryover. A prolonged dry spell and absent cold fronts have kept temperatures well above the 69.6 °F climatological average low, though subtle model consensus on light winds and partial clearing overnight limits downside risk to the 71 °F-or-below tier. Updated NWS guidance and early-morning observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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