Consensus weather forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a maximum temperature of 24°C in Chengdu on September 18, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light rain and northeasterly winds around 5–10 km/h. This aligns with typical mid-September conditions in the region’s humid subtropical climate, where daytime highs often peak near 24–25°C amid seasonal monsoon influences and moderate humidity levels exceeding 75%. The market-implied odds reflect strong trader alignment with this model consensus and official guidance. Minor deviations remain possible if unexpected clearing allows greater solar heating or if revised model runs adjust for localized microclimate effects, though current data indicate low likelihood of exceeding 25°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 18. September?
24°C 99%
25°C <1%
20°C oder darunter <1%
21°C <1%
$27,558 Vol.
$27,558 Vol.
20°C oder darunter
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
99%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 99%
25°C <1%
20°C oder darunter <1%
21°C <1%
$27,558 Vol.
$27,558 Vol.
20°C oder darunter
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
99%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Consensus weather forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a maximum temperature of 24°C in Chengdu on September 18, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light rain and northeasterly winds around 5–10 km/h. This aligns with typical mid-September conditions in the region’s humid subtropical climate, where daytime highs often peak near 24–25°C amid seasonal monsoon influences and moderate humidity levels exceeding 75%. The market-implied odds reflect strong trader alignment with this model consensus and official guidance. Minor deviations remain possible if unexpected clearing allows greater solar heating or if revised model runs adjust for localized microclimate effects, though current data indicate low likelihood of exceeding 25°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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