Hong Kong's official minimum temperature on September 5, 2026, is strongly expected to reach 27°C, aligning with the market's 96.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical conditions, including high humidity, light winds, and extensive cloud cover, have limited overnight radiative cooling, consistent with Hong Kong Observatory observations showing recent lows of 25–27°C and forecasts projecting a similar overnight floor near 26–27°C. Model consensus from regional guidance supports this range without notable divergence toward sharper drops. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clear skies or a rapid shift in steering patterns that enhances cooling, though current atmospheric stability and seasonal baselines make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 5. September?
27°C 98%
26°C 2%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
$32,764 Vol.
$32,764 Vol.
20°C oder darunter
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
98%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 98%
26°C 2%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
$32,764 Vol.
$32,764 Vol.
20°C oder darunter
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
98%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's official minimum temperature on September 5, 2026, is strongly expected to reach 27°C, aligning with the market's 96.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical conditions, including high humidity, light winds, and extensive cloud cover, have limited overnight radiative cooling, consistent with Hong Kong Observatory observations showing recent lows of 25–27°C and forecasts projecting a similar overnight floor near 26–27°C. Model consensus from regional guidance supports this range without notable divergence toward sharper drops. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clear skies or a rapid shift in steering patterns that enhances cooling, though current atmospheric stability and seasonal baselines make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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