The overwhelming market consensus on 26°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on September 4, 2026, reflects verified observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory showing nighttime readings bottoming at that level under persistently warm, humid conditions with light winds and extensive cloud cover. Early September climatology typically features minimums near 24–25°C, yet this instance aligned with above-normal overnight warmth driven by regional southerly flow and limited radiational cooling. Official station measurements and model consensus left little room for lower thresholds, consistent with the 99.4% implied probability. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or use of an alternate microclimate site could realistically alter the outcome, though such shifts remain rare given standardized reporting protocols.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 4. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 4. September?
26°C 99.4%
20°C oder weniger <1%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$25,136 Vol.
$25,136 Vol.
4. Sep. 2026
20°C oder weniger
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
99%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30 °C oder höher
<1%
26°C 99.4%
20°C oder weniger <1%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$25,136 Vol.
$25,136 Vol.
4. Sep. 2026
20°C oder weniger
$1,964 Vol.
1%
21°C
$134 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$558 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,569 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,615 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,876 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,574 Vol.
99%
27°C
$2,962 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,691 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,034 Vol.
<1%
30 °C oder höher
$160 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming market consensus on 26°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on September 4, 2026, reflects verified observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory showing nighttime readings bottoming at that level under persistently warm, humid conditions with light winds and extensive cloud cover. Early September climatology typically features minimums near 24–25°C, yet this instance aligned with above-normal overnight warmth driven by regional southerly flow and limited radiational cooling. Official station measurements and model consensus left little room for lower thresholds, consistent with the 99.4% implied probability. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or use of an alternate microclimate site could realistically alter the outcome, though such shifts remain rare given standardized reporting protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$25,136Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming market consensus on 26°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on September 4, 2026, reflects verified observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory showing nighttime readings bottoming at that level under persistently warm, humid conditions with light winds and extensive cloud cover. Early September climatology typically features minimums near 24–25°C, yet this instance aligned with above-normal overnight warmth driven by regional southerly flow and limited radiational cooling. Official station measurements and model consensus left little room for lower thresholds, consistent with the 99.4% implied probability. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or use of an alternate microclimate site could realistically alter the outcome, though such shifts remain rare given standardized reporting protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$25,136Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The overwhelming market consensus on 26°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on September 4, 2026, reflects verified observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory showing nighttime readings bottoming at that level under persistently warm, humid conditions with light winds and extensive cloud cover. Early September climatology typically features minimums near 24–25°C, yet this instance aligned with above-normal overnight warmth driven by regional southerly flow and limited radiational cooling. Official station measurements and model consensus left little room for lower thresholds, consistent with the 99.4% implied probability. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or use of an alternate microclimate site could realistically alter the outcome, though such shifts remain rare given standardized reporting protocols.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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