High-pressure systems and light easterly winds are sustaining the market's strong preference for a 27°C low in Hong Kong on September 20, with official Hong Kong Observatory guidance pointing to overnight minima of 26–27°C amid mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and low precipitation risk. Recent model runs show limited cooling potential due to elevated dew points and minimal radiative loss, keeping 26°C and 28°C as secondary outcomes while rendering extremes below 25°C or above 29°C negligible. Updated forecasts through the evening of September 19 have reinforced this narrow range, aligning trader sentiment with the anticipated diurnal temperature profile under the prevailing anticyclonic pattern.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 20. September?
27°C 63%
26°C 21%
28°C 12%
25°C 6%
22°C oder darunter
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
6%
26°C
21%
27°C
63%
28°C
12%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 63%
26°C 21%
28°C 12%
25°C 6%
22°C oder darunter
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
6%
26°C
21%
27°C
63%
28°C
12%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...High-pressure systems and light easterly winds are sustaining the market's strong preference for a 27°C low in Hong Kong on September 20, with official Hong Kong Observatory guidance pointing to overnight minima of 26–27°C amid mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and low precipitation risk. Recent model runs show limited cooling potential due to elevated dew points and minimal radiative loss, keeping 26°C and 28°C as secondary outcomes while rendering extremes below 25°C or above 29°C negligible. Updated forecasts through the evening of September 19 have reinforced this narrow range, aligning trader sentiment with the anticipated diurnal temperature profile under the prevailing anticyclonic pattern.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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