High pressure from a subtropical anticyclone over southern China is sustaining clear to partly sunny skies and strong daytime heating across Hong Kong, driving market-implied odds toward a 31–33 °C peak on 20 September. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–32 °C range with low rain probability early in the day, though localized afternoon showers could limit insolation and cap the maximum. Light easterly winds and moderate humidity (55–90 %) will modulate boundary-layer mixing and evaporative cooling, while model consensus on shower timing and coverage introduces the narrow spread between the 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations tomorrow morning will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 20. September?
32°C 40%
33°C 30%
31°C 21%
34°C 4%
$16,517 Vol.
$16,517 Vol.
26°C oder niedriger
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
21%
32°C
40%
33°C
30%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
32°C 40%
33°C 30%
31°C 21%
34°C 4%
$16,517 Vol.
$16,517 Vol.
26°C oder niedriger
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
21%
32°C
40%
33°C
30%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...High pressure from a subtropical anticyclone over southern China is sustaining clear to partly sunny skies and strong daytime heating across Hong Kong, driving market-implied odds toward a 31–33 °C peak on 20 September. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–32 °C range with low rain probability early in the day, though localized afternoon showers could limit insolation and cap the maximum. Light easterly winds and moderate humidity (55–90 %) will modulate boundary-layer mixing and evaporative cooling, while model consensus on shower timing and coverage introduces the narrow spread between the 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations tomorrow morning will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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