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icon for Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 31. August?

Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 31. August?

icon for Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 31. August?

Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 31. August?

Aug. 31

Sep. 1

Sep. 2

Aug. 31

Sep. 1

Sep. 2

26°C 99.0%

24°C 5.2%

27°C 1.0%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$19,248 Vol.

26°C 99.0%

24°C 5.2%

27°C 1.0%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$19,248 Vol.

21°C or below

$273 Vol.

-

22°C

$298 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$1,277 Vol.

1%

24°C

$1,467 Vol.

5%

25°C

$4,249 Vol.

1%

26°C

$4,431 Vol.

99%

27°C

$4,875 Vol.

1%

28°C

$1,379 Vol.

<1%

29°C

$420 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$298 Vol.

<1%

31°C or higher

$283 Vol.

-

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent thunderstorms and showers across Hong Kong on August 31 drove overnight cooling through persistent cloud cover and rainfall, moderating minimum temperatures under subtropical humidity levels near 85-95%. Official HKO guidance and model consensus pointed to a daily low near 26°C amid light northerly winds, aligning closely with late-August climatology where such conditions typically prevent both extreme highs and unusually cool readings below 24°C. Trader sentiment concentrated heavily on the 26°C outcome, reflecting real-time observational data and forecast stability rather than any sharp model shifts, while lower-probability tails for 21°C or below remained suppressed by the absence of strong cold-air intrusions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$19,248
Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent thunderstorms and showers across Hong Kong on August 31 drove overnight cooling through persistent cloud cover and rainfall, moderating minimum temperatures under subtropical humidity levels near 85-95%. Official HKO guidance and model consensus pointed to a daily low near 26°C amid light northerly winds, aligning closely with late-August climatology where such conditions typically prevent both extreme highs and unusually cool readings below 24°C. Trader sentiment concentrated heavily on the 26°C outcome, reflecting real-time observational data and forecast stability rather than any sharp model shifts, while lower-probability tails for 21°C or below remained suppressed by the absence of strong cold-air intrusions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$19,248
Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Verwandte

icon for Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 31?

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 31?

100%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 1?

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 1?

65%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 2?

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 2?

35%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 31. August?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „26°C" mit 99%, gefolgt von „31°C or higher" mit 46%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 99¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 99% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 31. August?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $19.2K generiert, seit der Markt am Aug 29, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 31. August?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 31. August?" ist „26°C" mit 99%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 99% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „31°C or higher" mit 46%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 31. August?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.