The official minimum temperature at Chicago O'Hare reached 76°F early on September 4, 2026, per National Weather Service climate summaries, aligning closely with the market's leading 76-77°F outcome. Persistent warm, humid conditions under southerly flow and limited overnight cooling—driven by elevated dew points near 70°F and average sky cover around 0.4—prevented deeper drops below the seasonal normal low of 62°F. Nearby station variations and preliminary readings introduced minor uncertainty between the tightly matched 74-75°F and 76-77°F bins, while model guidance and climatological baselines for early September reinforced trader focus on the upper end of typical ranges. Official resolution data from monitoring agencies will finalize settlement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Chicago am 4. September?
76-77°F 99%
67°F oder weniger 20%
74-75 °F 20%
68-69°F 9%
$2,055 Vol.
$2,055 Vol.
67°F oder weniger
20%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
3%
74-75 °F
20%
76-77°F
99%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F oder höher
<1%
76-77°F 99%
67°F oder weniger 20%
74-75 °F 20%
68-69°F 9%
$2,055 Vol.
$2,055 Vol.
67°F oder weniger
20%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
3%
74-75 °F
20%
76-77°F
99%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The official minimum temperature at Chicago O'Hare reached 76°F early on September 4, 2026, per National Weather Service climate summaries, aligning closely with the market's leading 76-77°F outcome. Persistent warm, humid conditions under southerly flow and limited overnight cooling—driven by elevated dew points near 70°F and average sky cover around 0.4—prevented deeper drops below the seasonal normal low of 62°F. Nearby station variations and preliminary readings introduced minor uncertainty between the tightly matched 74-75°F and 76-77°F bins, while model guidance and climatological baselines for early September reinforced trader focus on the upper end of typical ranges. Official resolution data from monitoring agencies will finalize settlement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen