Current forecast consensus points to a Beijing overnight low near 15°C, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and strong radiative cooling under dry air with dew points in the single digits Celsius. Trader odds remain tightly clustered because numerical models show small spreads in boundary-layer mixing and minimum timing, with some runs favoring 13–14°C if winds calm further and others holding near 16°C if residual turbulence persists. These outcomes sit close to climatological September minima for the city, where urban heat-island effects and high-pressure subsidence typically limit extremes. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration observations tonight will likely resolve the narrow range before market settlement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Peking am 13. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Peking am 13. September?
11°C oder darunter 93%
13°C 93%
14°C 92%
12°C 18%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
11°C oder darunter
93%
12°C
18%
13°C
93%
14°C
92%
15°C
-
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C oder höher
<1%
11°C oder darunter 93%
13°C 93%
14°C 92%
12°C 18%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
11°C oder darunter
$43 Vol.
93%
12°C
$0 Vol.
18%
13°C
$0 Vol.
93%
14°C
$52 Vol.
92%
15°C
$269 Vol.
-
16°C
$371 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$295 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$54 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
21°C oder höher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus points to a Beijing overnight low near 15°C, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and strong radiative cooling under dry air with dew points in the single digits Celsius. Trader odds remain tightly clustered because numerical models show small spreads in boundary-layer mixing and minimum timing, with some runs favoring 13–14°C if winds calm further and others holding near 16°C if residual turbulence persists. These outcomes sit close to climatological September minima for the city, where urban heat-island effects and high-pressure subsidence typically limit extremes. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration observations tonight will likely resolve the narrow range before market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$1,129Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus points to a Beijing overnight low near 15°C, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and strong radiative cooling under dry air with dew points in the single digits Celsius. Trader odds remain tightly clustered because numerical models show small spreads in boundary-layer mixing and minimum timing, with some runs favoring 13–14°C if winds calm further and others holding near 16°C if residual turbulence persists. These outcomes sit close to climatological September minima for the city, where urban heat-island effects and high-pressure subsidence typically limit extremes. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration observations tonight will likely resolve the narrow range before market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,129Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus points to a Beijing overnight low near 15°C, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and strong radiative cooling under dry air with dew points in the single digits Celsius. Trader odds remain tightly clustered because numerical models show small spreads in boundary-layer mixing and minimum timing, with some runs favoring 13–14°C if winds calm further and others holding near 16°C if residual turbulence persists. These outcomes sit close to climatological September minima for the city, where urban heat-island effects and high-pressure subsidence typically limit extremes. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration observations tonight will likely resolve the narrow range before market settlement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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