Chen Yu-jen’s selection as the Kuomintang nominee for the Kinmen County magistrate race in March 2026 has anchored trader consensus around her candidacy at 82.5 percent implied probability. As the sitting legislator for the constituency, she benefits from the county’s long-standing KMT alignment, prior electoral margins exceeding 65 percent in related contests, and the absence of a competitive Democratic Progressive Party entrant. Lower-priced alternatives such as Li Wen-liang at 14.5 percent and other listed candidates reflect limited organized opposition and the structural advantages of party endorsement in this offshore jurisdiction ahead of the year-end local vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertChen Yu-jen 83%
Li Wen-liang 15%
Yang Cheng-wu 3.0%
Liang Wen-tao 2.3%
NEU
NEU
30. Juni 2027
Chen Yu-jen
83%
Li Wen-liang
15%
Yang Cheng-wu
3%
Liang Wen-tao
2%
Chen Yu-jen 83%
Li Wen-liang 15%
Yang Cheng-wu 3.0%
Liang Wen-tao 2.3%
NEU
NEU
30. Juni 2027
Chen Yu-jen
$1,096 Vol.
83%
Li Wen-liang
$176 Vol.
15%
Yang Cheng-wu
$107 Vol.
3%
Liang Wen-tao
$106 Vol.
2%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen’s selection as the Kuomintang nominee for the Kinmen County magistrate race in March 2026 has anchored trader consensus around her candidacy at 82.5 percent implied probability. As the sitting legislator for the constituency, she benefits from the county’s long-standing KMT alignment, prior electoral margins exceeding 65 percent in related contests, and the absence of a competitive Democratic Progressive Party entrant. Lower-priced alternatives such as Li Wen-liang at 14.5 percent and other listed candidates reflect limited organized opposition and the structural advantages of party endorsement in this offshore jurisdiction ahead of the year-end local vote.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ET
Volumen
$1,485Enddatum
28. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen’s selection as the Kuomintang nominee for the Kinmen County magistrate race in March 2026 has anchored trader consensus around her candidacy at 82.5 percent implied probability. As the sitting legislator for the constituency, she benefits from the county’s long-standing KMT alignment, prior electoral margins exceeding 65 percent in related contests, and the absence of a competitive Democratic Progressive Party entrant. Lower-priced alternatives such as Li Wen-liang at 14.5 percent and other listed candidates reflect limited organized opposition and the structural advantages of party endorsement in this offshore jurisdiction ahead of the year-end local vote.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$1,485Enddatum
28. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chen Yu-jen’s selection as the Kuomintang nominee for the Kinmen County magistrate race in March 2026 has anchored trader consensus around her candidacy at 82.5 percent implied probability. As the sitting legislator for the constituency, she benefits from the county’s long-standing KMT alignment, prior electoral margins exceeding 65 percent in related contests, and the absence of a competitive Democratic Progressive Party entrant. Lower-priced alternatives such as Li Wen-liang at 14.5 percent and other listed candidates reflect limited organized opposition and the structural advantages of party endorsement in this offshore jurisdiction ahead of the year-end local vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen