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icon for Wahlsieger bei der Amtsrichterwahl in Hualien County

Wahlsieger bei der Amtsrichterwahl in Hualien County

icon for Wahlsieger bei der Amtsrichterwahl in Hualien County

Wahlsieger bei der Amtsrichterwahl in Hualien County

Yu Shu-chen 44%

Chang Chun 29%

Yeh Yao-hui 23%

Lo Pei-chin 20%

Polymarket
NEU

Yu Shu-chen 44%

Chang Chun 29%

Yeh Yao-hui 23%

Lo Pei-chin 20%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Yu Shu-chen

Yu Shu-chen

$21 Vol.

44%

icon for Chang Chun

Chang Chun

$24 Vol.

29%

icon for Yeh Yao-hui

Yeh Yao-hui

$24 Vol.

23%

icon for Lo Pei-chin

Lo Pei-chin

$25 Vol.

34%

icon for Wei Chia-hsien

Wei Chia-hsien

$25 Vol.

35%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Hualien County's magistrate race for the November 28, 2026, local elections remains tightly contested among pan-blue contenders due to internal KMT divisions and independent candidacies. The KMT's March nomination of Jian Township head Yu Shu-chen followed a contested process involving multiple party figures seeking to reduce the influence of legislator Fu Kun-chi. Independent county councilor Wei Chia-hsien, former Hualien City mayor, and other candidates including Chang Chun have drawn comparable trader interest, fragmenting support in a historically KMT-leaning county where no dominant DPP challenger has emerged. This multi-candidate field, combined with limited recent polling differentiation, sustains the even odds. Further endorsements, formal DPP nominations, campaign events, or emerging issues around local governance could consolidate backing and shift probabilities ahead of the vote.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$119
Enddatum
28. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Hualien County's magistrate race for the November 28, 2026, local elections remains tightly contested among pan-blue contenders due to internal KMT divisions and independent candidacies. The KMT's March nomination of Jian Township head Yu Shu-chen followed a contested process involving multiple party figures seeking to reduce the influence of legislator Fu Kun-chi. Independent county councilor Wei Chia-hsien, former Hualien City mayor, and other candidates including Chang Chun have drawn comparable trader interest, fragmenting support in a historically KMT-leaning county where no dominant DPP challenger has emerged. This multi-candidate field, combined with limited recent polling differentiation, sustains the even odds. Further endorsements, formal DPP nominations, campaign events, or emerging issues around local governance could consolidate backing and shift probabilities ahead of the vote.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$119
Enddatum
28. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahlsieger bei der Amtsrichterwahl in Hualien County" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Yu Shu-chen" mit 45%, gefolgt von „Wei Chia-hsien" mit 35%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 45¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 45% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Wahlsieger bei der Amtsrichterwahl in Hualien County" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 14, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Wahlsieger bei der Amtsrichterwahl in Hualien County" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 5 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahlsieger bei der Amtsrichterwahl in Hualien County" ist „Yu Shu-chen" mit 45%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 45% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Wei Chia-hsien" mit 35%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wahlsieger bei der Amtsrichterwahl in Hualien County" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.